Section
Geopolitics
56 posts
Stagflation Is Not Overheating: What 107 Years of Evidence Means for Advisor Portfolios
A new working paper from Man Group’s Panashe Bera and Kristina Hooper, and Duke University’s Fuqua School of…
The AI Buildout Is Not Adding to the Economy. It Is Restructuring It.
Announced capital spending across major U.S. technology companies now points to more than $1 trillion in desired annual…
Faster Decisions, No Compromise: Inside BMO Insurance’s SmartDecision
BMO Insurance's Katarina Nikolic, on how SmartDecision delivers market leading real-time underwriting decisions up to $5-million, which eliminates delays and uncertainty in the decision-making process.
The Détente Dividend: Rethinking the US-China War Premium
In a bi-weekly geopolitical report published October 26, 20261, Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, of Confluence Investment Management challenges one…
Rates Retrace, Credit Doesn't: The Tightening Pipeline Still Has Work to Do
With the Federal Open Market Committee convening this week for the first time since its September rate hike,…
The Conviction Gap: What Most Advisor Portfolios Are Missing at the Core
Most advisor portfolios mistake active weight for manager conviction. Franklin Templeton's five-factor core equity suite fixes that, starting with a proprietary conviction signal that extracts what managers actually believe.
Oil Tanker Rates Top $1 Million a Day as Shipping Profits Soar
by Frank Holmes, CEO/CIO, U.S. Global Investors Earlier this week, a supertanker loading crude in the Gulf of…
The Myths That Move Markets
Geopolitics rarely announces itself cleanly in a portfolio. It arrives through currencies, bond yields, and equity flows long…
Canada's Sleeping Giant
Mark Carney bets energy infrastructure can hold a fractured country together
When the Jackpot Hits an Empty Seat
The Shrugflation Triangle and What It Means for Advisors and Investors
Hubert Marleau: In Profits We Trust
by Hubert Marleau, Market Economist, Palos Management Last week I wrote: “I’m still maintaining my year-end 7925 target…
Markets at the Crossroads: What J.P. Morgan's 4Q 2026 Guide Tells Advisors Now
J.P. Morgan Asset Management's latest Guide to the Markets 1 (U.S., 4Q 2026, as of September 30, 2026)…
The Architecture of Currency Markets: What Advisors and Investors Need to Know
The foreign exchange market is the largest financial market on Earth, and also one of the most misunderstood.…
The Sea as a Theatre of War: What Maritime Risk Means for Markets
The conversation about global trade disruption has been dominated by tariffs for several years. A new report from…
Stock Market’s Wall of Worry Gets Taller
LPL Research explores how geopolitical tensions, higher interest rates, and AI investment are adding to the stock market’s wall of worry.
Investors are Watching Oil, Geopolitics and AI, but Mostly Growth
by Hubert Marleau, Market Economist, Palos Management Last week I wrote: “For sure, the market has been wacky…
A Hawkish Fed, a Two-Speed China, and the Thread That Connects Them
by Dr. Jeffrey Roach, Chief Economist, LPL Research Washington's inflation fight and Beijing's growth problem are pulling the…