Section
Trade
208 posts
Bull Markets Climb Walls of Worry: Jeff Schulze's Case for Staying Invested
ClearBridge's Head of Economic and Market Research sees a resilient economy, accelerating earnings, and a labor market at historic strength — and argues that skepticism itself is the fuel that keeps bull markets running.
Market Ethos: Inflation Deja Vu?
by Craig Basinger, Derek Benedet, Brett Gustafson & Spencer Morgan, Purpose Investments Memories of the inflation spike in…
Resolving The Trade Emergency
Hedging our expectations about a tariff refund windfall.
Comfortably Numb: Why Investors Are Misreading the Stagflation Signal
Man Group's Henry Neville maps seven episodes across 150 years to reveal what actually works — and why 45 years of amnesia may be the greatest risk of all
Looking beyond conflict: Viewing volatility as opportunity
by Steve Watson, Equity Portfolio Manager, Capital Group Investors are climbing a high wall of worries in 2026.…
The Case for Core International Equity Exposure
Michael Greenberg, Head of Americas Portfolio Management at Franklin Templeton explains why international equities are no longer a tactical side bet, but a structural core allocation—and how disciplined portfolio construction is becoming the real source of durability
Macro Moments Weekly: Shock, suspense and interest rates
by Michael Browne, Global Investment Strategist, Franklin Templeton Institute There are two kinds of shocks in films. The…
Hormuz Reopening Won't Mean Immediate Normalization
Broken supply chains will need time to heal.
Tariffs Don't Inflate First — They Deflate. Then They Burn.
A new San Francisco Fed study maps the hidden timeline of tariff-driven inflation — and the findings challenge everything investors think they know.
Quick Thoughts: A helpful ceasefire, but a fragile pause
The US-Iran ceasefire has lifted markets; however, Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover explains why this looks more like a relief rally rather than a definitive resolution. He also discusses where he sees possible opportunities ahead.
Oil, Yields, and the Economy's Long Hangover
Charles Schwab's Liz Ann Sonders and Collin Martin parse the war's economic aftershocks, the inflation treadmill, and what earnings estimates are actually telling investors.
War in Iran: Goldman Sachs Maps the Global Economic Fallout
A new research note from Goldman Sachs charts the macro damage — measured, conditional, and carrying a warning about what happens if the Strait of Hormuz stays shut.
China's Exposure To The Persian Gulf
Deeper partnerships create deeper fault lines.
Tariffs: A Lost Year
A long-form review of what tariffs have accomplished and what may be in store.
China’s Export Run Continues
Chinese firms continue to lean on exports.
Higher Tariffs Not Dead
by Brian Wesbury, Chief Economist, & Robert Stein, Deputy Chief Economist, First Trust Portfolios The Trump Tariffs are…