Section

Portfolio Construction

102 posts

The 4th Turning of Markets: Darius Dale on Inflation, Debt & Investing in 2025

What if everything you thought you knew about the Fed, fiscal policy, and recession playbooks is already obsolete? In this episode, Darius Dale reveals why the U.S. economy has entered “Paradigm C” — a regime of fiscal dominance, deregulation, and coordinated support — and what it means for portfolios, the Fed, and your financial future.

False Comforts, Real Consequences: Rethinking Growth, Gold, and Gut-Punch Volatility

I used to believe in stimulus. Government steps in, writes some checks, growth rebounds, the crowd cheers. Textbook stuff. Until I read Rob Arnott, Alex Pickard, Henry Neville, Michael Mauboussin and Dan Callahan all say, in their own careful ways, “not quite.”

Fragile Convictions, Fortified Portfolios: PICTON’s Playbook for a Market Built on Hope

“We don’t think it’s a bull market... we think it’s very prudent to focus on much better diversification within portfolios.” — David Picton, President & CEO, PICTON Investments
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