10 Bearish Charts, 1 Bullish Chart

by Meb Faber, Meb Faber Research

Below are 11 charts or stats to mull over.

Any other great charts I’m missing?  (You all already know my portfolio and plan for 2015 but old post if you have not read.)

Click to enlarge any.

1.  Buyback Authorizations

April 2015 highest amount ever

buybacks

 

2.  Value of M&A Deals

May highest ever: $242B

 

3.  Valuation of M&A Deals

The average EV/EBITDA multiple for global M&A stands at 12.4x in 2015 YTD, the highest full year level on record.

 

deal

via Economist

 

4.  % IPOS unprofitable

Near or at highest ever.

CGWPv6SUQAAc994

via Howard Lindzon

 

5.  Shiller CAPE

Highest except 2000, 2007, and 1929.

cape

via Shiller

 

6.  Median P/S Ratio

The Price-to-Sales ratio of the median stock in the S&P 500 is at an all time high at 2.1 since 1964. Median 0.89 .  Ditto for median price to book, earnings, and cash flow.

ps

via Ned Davis

 

7.  Allocation of Investors to Equities

With exception of 2000, near prior peaks.

Screen Shot 2015-05-31 at 4.10.28 PM

 

8.  P/E Ratio of Cheapest S&P 500 Sector

Highest ever.

cheap

Via Leuthold

 

9.  NYSE Margin Debt

All time high.

NYSE-margin-debt-SPX-since-1995

Via dShort

 

10. Yearlong Sentiment

Second highest ever.

Screen-Shot-2015-01-10-at-4.50.00-PM

Screen-Shot-2015-01-10-at-4.50.13-PM

Screen-Shot-2015-01-10-at-4.50.20-PM

via Leuthold

 

…And the 1 bullish chart……

The trend.

Is up.

And for now, the 1 bullish chart is more powerful than all the bearish charts…

trend

via StockCharts

 

Copyright © Meb Faber Research

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