2/3 Of Global Stocks Are Down Since 5/21/2015

Since 5/21/2015, 2 out of 3 mid-large cap stocks have declined. In the first histogram below, we show the number of companies in the GKCI All Country World Index (our version of the MSCI All-Country World Index) that have had positive performance (green) or negative performance (red) since 5/21/2015.

As you can see, the return distribution exhibits leptokurticĀ (high peak) and positive skew (longer right tail) characteristics (the market almost always has a positive skew since positive returns can go to infinity in theory). Overall,Ā 66% of stocks have declined over the past year while just 34% have posted unchangedĀ or positive performance.Ā If we filter out the emerging market stocks, we see that developed market stocks have performed marginallyĀ better. 40% of DM stocks have had positive performance over the past year compared to just 23% of EM stocks.

(click any chart to enlarge)

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Copyright Ā© GavekalCapital

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