Section
Recession
77 posts
Slowdown Signals: Are Leading Indicators Flashing Red?
by Lance Roberts, RIA Lately, thereâs been a growing sense of confidence among investors that the U.S. economy…
Prepare, Donât Predict: Building Resilient Portfolios with Private Credit
For decades, investors climbed the 60/40 ladder with confidence. Now, every step feels less steady. High inflation that refuses to budge, interest rates that wonât come down anytime soon, and the growing correlation between stocks and bonds...
Two More Cuts Anticipated
by Professor Jeremy J. Siegel, Senior Economist to WisdomTree and Emeritus Professor of Finance at The Wharton School…
Navigating Paradigm C: Darius Dale on Fiscal Dominance, Fed Policy, and the Future of Investing
A sweeping, data-driven diagnosis of the U.S. economy, policy regime shifts, and the investment strategies retail and institutional investors alike should be considering, according to 42 Macro's Darius Dale.
Denise Chisholm: Caution - Payrolls Are a Lagging Indicator
by Denise Chisholm, Director of Quantitative Market Strategy, Fidelity Investments Earlier this month, the employment report came with…
Powellâs Last Stand
by Hubert Marleau, Market Economist, Palos Management August 22, 2025 Jerome H. Powell said 4 big things…
Trump Wins Big One-Sided Trade Deals, But Inflation Is the Fly in the Ointment
by Hubert Marleau, Market Economist, Palos Management August 1, 2025 The U.S. has been transformed into a high-tariff…
US rally relievesâbut does not reassure
US equities underperformed global markets in the first six months of 2025, but continue to trade at a premium to foreign markets. ClearBridge Investments outlines the case for global diversification.
âDriving Blindfolded or Playing to Win?â â JPM and KKR See the Same Road, But Choose Different Gears
Markets climb a wall of worry.
Stayinâ Alive: Strong Earnings Extend Market Run
by Paul Eitelman, Russell Investments Key Takeaways Encouraging start to earnings season U.S. retail sales rebound Inflation ticks…
The economy's case for lower rates
by Eugenio J. AlemĂĄn, Chief Economist, Raymond James Chief Economist Eugenio J. AlemĂĄn discusses current economic conditions. We…
"Surreal" Market Signals and the Road Ahead: Gundlach's Mid-Year Macro Dissection
Jeffrey Gundlach, the ever-skeptical maestro of macro at DoubleLine Capital, titled his June 10, 2025 webcast1 "Surreal"âa fitting…
Powellâs Dilemma: Cut Too Late, or Cut Too Little?
Hubert Marleau breaks down why the Fedâs dot plot is missing the bigger macro pictureâand why the S&P 500 could still hit 6600.
Why Itâs Time to Rethink PortfoliosâFrom the Bear Up, says Picton
When markets get messy, David Picton doesnât just feel itâhe wears it. âThe bags under your eyes grow,â…
Where Have All the (Duration) Buyers Gone?
by Lawrence Gillum, Chief Fixed Income Strategist, LPL Research It has seemingly been a one-way move higher in…
Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial CrisisâŚAgain.
by Lance Roberts, RIA Ray Dalio, the former head of Bridgewater Associates, is back in the media, trying…
