Section
Deflation
23 posts
Things That Make You Go Hmmm... Like Japan's "Economics Of The Hopeless"
by Grant Williams, Things That Make You Go Hmmm... The definition of the term Hail Mary as it…
Default, Deflation, and Financial Repression
by R. C. Whalen Back in March 2011, author Carmen Reinhart wrote a comment in Bloomberg describing the…
Paranormal Markets: What’s Bad for the Economy Is Good for Stocks?
Negative economic news has been causing increases in stock prices. Jeff explains how uncertainty over Fed policy is…
Jim Grant Defines Deflation
Authored by Jim Grant of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, A derangement of money or credit, a symptom of…
Things That Make You Go Hmmm... Like Fedspeak
Lately, Fedspeak has plummeted to new depths of indecipherability as frantic Fed governors, terrified by the extent of…
Hoisington: "The Secular Low In Bond Yields Has Yet To Be Recorded"
by Lacy Hunt and Van Hoisington via Hoisington Investment Management, Lower Long Term Rates The secular low in…
Jim Rogers: "Beware The Man On The White Horse..."
Submitted by Simon Black via Sovereign Man blog, As far back as ancient times, whenever civilizations fell into…
Deflation By Any Other Name Would Smell As Foul
Over the weekend, the BIS came with a curious number on the losses, as quoted by Reuters: The BIS said in its annual report that a rise in bond yields of 3 percentage points across the maturity spectrum would inflict losses on U. S. bond investors – excluding the Federal Reserve – of more than $1 trillion, or 8% of U. S. gross domestic product.
Markets have simply been undead for the past 5 years – or so -, as long as central banks have issued stimulus.
Moreover, in the $82 trillion or so global bond markets, a $1 trillion loss looks very low in comparison, certainly when you see the BIS claim that France, Italy, Japan and Britain can see their bonds lose a third of their value.
Today's stimulus is self-defeating simply because it is unleashed in a toxic financial environment, ridden with hidden debt. [.. ] … it can only function when debts are properly restructured, defaulted upon, their holders bankrupted where applicable.
Signs of concern about high-flying assets like emerging markets can be seen in the options market, where more than 1. 35 million contracts in the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets exchange-traded fund traded on Thursday – 82% of which were put options, generally used to protect against losses.