If this is failure, I want more of it.â
âCharlie Munger
âThe only succession for Ajit Jain is reincarnation.â
âWarren Buffett
Omaha, Nebraska, May 3, 2014. Itâs one year later, and Iâm driving in pre-dawn darkness through downtown Omaha to the 2014 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting, which, up until about a week ago, was looking like another cakewalk for Warren Buffett.
After all, Berkshireâs net worth increased 18% in 2013, representing a staggering $34 billion jump in value.
And while, as some wet-blanket observers have pointed out, Berkshireâs 18% gain paled in comparison with the S&P 500 (up 32% including dividendsâits best year since 1995), a $34 billion increase in value would be a grand slam home run for any company, in any yearâŠlet alone for a decentralized conglomerate in its 49th year under the watchful but aging eyes of two men, one in his early 80âs and the other who just turned 90.
Indeed, so well did Berkshireâs businesses perform last year that Buffettâwho so frequently dwells on the negatives in his self-assessments that Charlie Munger says, âWarren wants to make it eccentrically difficult for himselfââkicked off his year-end shareholder letter by writing, âjust about everything turned out well for us last year.â
Then along came Buffettâs April 23 CNBC interview with Becky Quick, and all anybody has talked about since is his Coca Cola vote.
Kind of Un-American to Vote âNoâ at a Coke Meeting
During that fateful discussion, Quickâone of the three journalists asking questions at the meeting here todayâbrought up Buffettâs recent decision to abstain from voting Berkshireâs shares of Coca Cola against a large option package for Coke management.
The Coke option grant had become something of a cause cĂ©lĂšbre on Wall Street after one âactivistâ Coke shareholder calculated that the options could dilute existing Coke shareholders as much as 17% over time, and he publicly urged other shareholders to help him vote it down.
Buffett, who doesnât like to be railroaded into doing anything, let alone going against the wishes of his longstanding friends at Coca Cola, decided to abstain rather than vote against Coke management.
When Buffett was pressed by Quick on his decision to avoid joining the activist uprising and merely abstain from voting Berkshireâs shares, Buffettânormally a harsh critic of corporate âfat catsââseemed off his game.
âI love Coke, I love the management, I love the directors, so I donât want to vote no,â he told Quick and everyone watching. Then the investor most famous for staying rational in the frequently-irrational world of investing gave Becky the least rational reason he could have given for his decision: Itâs âkind of un-American to vote ânoâ at a Coke meeting,â he said.
Cries of hypocrisy and corporate cronyism swiftly appeared in New York Times opinion pieces and across the Internet. It didnât help that the options package had been approved by Cokeâs board of directors, which happens to include Buffettâs oldest son, Howard.
The resulting kerfuffle prompted Buffett to give several defensive TV interviews in response, but it was too late. The story has dominated the news leading up to the Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting ever since.
And it will no doubt be the first topic of the question and answer session due to start soon.
Hello, Goodbye
The Coke controversy is one big difference between this yearâs shareholder meeting and last yearâs relatively quiet gathering, but it is not the only difference.
For starters, the weather is way nicer this yearâthe air was positively balmy leaving the hotel this morningâand the Omaha skyline continues to sprout new buildings. The growth and optimism are palpable, with new restaurants and bars springing up seemingly everywhere, and apartment buildings going up in what used to be a very quiet downtown after hours.
But the biggest difference between this weekend and any of the last half-dozen shareholder meeting weekends is that in three days of driving around Omaha, I still havenât seen a picture of Warren Buffett.
The billboards with his giant headshot, the airport displays with his face on them, and even the trucks driving around town with his photo on the sidesâadvertisements for the University of Nebraska (âWarren Buffett, Class of 1951â)âtheyâre all gone.
Interestingly, Buffettâs public profile has been reduced recently in other ways as well. NetJets, for example, no longer advertises in the Wall Street Journal with photos of Warren Buffett flying in comfort on the Berkshire-owned companyâs time-sharing jets. In his place, the Berkshire Hathaway name is promoted instead.
Furthermore, the Berkshire brand was slapped on the companyâs disparate real estate brokerage holdings last yearâthe first time since Buffett took control of Berkshire Hathaway in 1965 that the name had been used on anything outside its old textile business other than insurance.
Just last week the companyâs Mid-American Energy business was renamed âBerkshire Hathaway Energy.â
The move away from Warren Buffettâs iconic image, and towards Berkshire Hathawayâs own name, seems clearly designed to ready the company for the day Buffett is no longer able to run the company he built, and a successor takes his place as CEO.
It also makes what the radio happened to play when I first started up the car this morning a bit spooky.  Like last year, it was a Beatles classic; unlike last year it wasnât âBack in the USSR.â
It was âHello, Goodbye.â
Weâll get some more clues about Buffettâs successor even before the question and answer session starts later this morningâduring the cartoon, in case youâre wonderingâand those clues may just be the most obvious yet.
But weâll also see that Warren Buffett isnât going anywhere soon, and neither is Charlie Munger, by the looks of things.
Both men will take the stage after the usual rousing movie, to the usual rousing applause, from the usual packed arena.
And at ages 83 and 90 theyâll prove to be in top form, answering more than 60 questions during the course of more than five and a half hours of Q&A, while offering up a few more âsecretsâ for those whoâve made the journey to Omaha.
First, however, theyâll have to deal with the Coke controversy.
Forty-Five to One
Easily the most disappointing part of the Berkshire Hathaway meeting weekend actually begins after the movie that kicks things off, but just before Buffett calls for the first question from Carol Loomis.
Thatâs when Buffett typically spends five or ten minutes reviewing Berkshireâs quarterly earnings and any other unusual company business that might have come up ahead of the meeting.
Today, that unusual company business happens to be a Berkshire Hathaway shareholderâs proposal calling on Berkshire to pay a dividend. It had been on the proxy statement voted on by Berkshireâs shareholders, and Buffett wants to discuss the voting.
Now, we all know a dividend will never happen as long as Warren Buffett is aroundâafter all, why give Berkshireâs cash to shareholders when Warren Buffett can invest it better?âbut a shareholder had gotten it on the ballot anyway.
Buffett first puts up a slide of the proposal, and while it reads kind of snarky, itâs very straightforward:
 âWhereas the corporation has more money than it needs and since the owners unlike Warren are not multi-billionaires, the board shall consider paying a meaningful annual dividend on the shares.â
Buffett acknowledges the chuckles at the sarcastic language, and then puts up another slide showing how the voting came out. He is clearly pleased.
It turns out the Berkshire shareholders sided with Buffett in a landslide, voting down the dividend proposal by an overwhelming forty-five to one margin, despite the fact, as Buffett says proudly, âwe employed no proxy solicitation firmâ to lobby shareholders to shoot down the idea.
In fact, Buffett says, the result was âbetter than I expected.â
The message from Buffett is clear: shareholder votes matter, and when something comes along a shareholder doesnât like, they should go ahead and vote their conscience, because boards and their CEOs pay attention.
He then calls on Fortune magazine Editor Carol Loomis to ask the first question, and almost immediately contradicts that message.
This Very Un-Buffett-Like Behavior
Carol Loomis kicks off the Q&A, as usual.
She is a close friend of Buffett and longtime Berkshire investor, but despite their relationship Carol never shies from starting with the question thatâs on everybodyâs mind, no matter how uncomfortable.
In this case, itâs about Buffettâs Coke vote. Or, rather, about Buffett abstaining from the Coke vote.
The question Carol has chosen (the reporters get thousands of emailed questions prior to the meeting) asks Buffett to justify âthis very un-Buffett-like behavior.â
And Buffett begins his answer.
He first explains that the option plan wasnât as egregious as the calculations thrown around by the activist had made it seem, and goes into a typically Buffett-esque, to-the-decimal-point analysis of the numbers, which he clearly knows cold.
Nevertheless, he says, he did think the plan was âexcessiveâ and tells us he expressed that concern in a meeting with the Coke CEO âright here in Omaha.â
All in all, however, he simply didnât want to âgo to war with Coca Cola,â and felt abstaining on the vote while making his opposition known to Cokeâs CEO âwas the most effective way of behaving for Berkshire Hathaway.â
Charlie Munger backs up his friend, in his usual crisp, dry fashion, saying, âI think you handled the whole situation very well.â
A Person Should Just Pick His Spots
But many shareholders in the arena clearly donât agree.
During previous meetings when Buffett has been similarly challenged (during the David Sokol affair, for example), he had been applauded for staunchly defending his behavior.
But he gets no applause this morning, and further muddies the waters a few questions later when Andrew Ross Sorkin asks a terrific follow-up question on behalf of yet another shareholder upset with Buffettâs behavior.
Noting that Buffettâs son, Howardâwho is expected to become Berkshireâs board chairman should anything happen to Warrenâis not only on the board of Coke but voted for the same option plan his father thought was âexcessive,â Sorkinâs questioner wants to know how in the world Howard Buffett would âenforce the Berkshire culture,â which is firmly against the kind of corporate self-enrichment the Coke plan represents, when Howard is running Berkshireâs board meetings after Warren is gone?
This time Buffett launches into an unfortunateâbut brutally honestâdepiction of boards of directors that leaves some of us wondering if somebody spiked the Cherry Coke Buffett drinks while on stage.
âThe nature of boards,â says Buffett, âis such theyâre part business organizations and part social organizations.â  Buffett hammers home his point by noting that directors are âgetting paid $200,000-$300,000 a year,â so âbelieve, me, they are not independent.â
Now, everybody here either knew that already or suspected as muchâbut weâve also had it drilled into our heads by Buffett and Munger in this same venue that boards are not supposed to be anything but representatives of the shareholders who own the company.
The mood is sour enough after this preamble, but then Buffett drops the bombshell: âAs a director,â he confesses, âI voted for comp plans, and some acquisitions, that didnât make sense.â
Itâs like hearing Derek Jeter casually admit heâd helped inject Alex Rodriguez with steroids.
Charlie Munger gamely backs up his friend, saying he doesnât think âa person should just shout disapproval all day long,â and âIf we all did that all day long you wouldnât be able to hear each other.â That gets some applause and Munger follows it up by saying simply, âI think a person should just pick their spots.â
Buffett tries to finish off the discussion with a classic Buffettism that is as unsatisfying as it is catchy: âIf you keep belching at the dinner table youâll be eating in the kitchen.â
Itâs unlikely anybody in this arena thought theyâd ever hear Warren Buffett equate voting against management pocket-stuffing to âbelching,â but heâs just done it.
Coke discussion over, the Q&A session moves on to less jarring topics.
I Donât Think You Need to Squeeze the Last Nickel Out of a Business
Thanks to the Q&A formatâthree reporters and three analysts alternating with shareholdersâthe focus this year is on the business, not on the personal stuff. As a result, Charlie Munger is doing a lot of the talking, and thatâs always a good thing.
When asked whether Berkshire plans to adopt the ferocious cost-cutting measures of 3G (his Brazilian partners in the Heinz acquisition), for example, Buffett demurs. âI do think 3G does a magnificent job running businesses,â he says, but adds without elaborating, âItâs a different style.â
Munger, as he often does, puts Buffettâs thinking in plainer terms: âI think a lot of great businesses spill a little because they donât want to be fanatic, and thatâs alright.  I donât think you need to squeeze the last nickel out of a business.â
That Was The Best Use of our $3 Billion That Day
As usual, both men travel the same wavelength. (Buffett will later say, âCharlie and I have never had an argument,â and theyâve known each other 55 years.) When Buffett is asked a wonky question about Berkshireâs âcost of capital,â both men deliciously pick the concept apart.
Now, âcost of capitalâ is a very hot topic among public companies. So long as the projected returns on an acquisition or new plant exceed a companyâs âcost of capital,â they can tell shareholders, with a straight face, the investment makes sense. It leads to a lot of bad behavior, and both Buffett and Munger know it.
âI figure our âcost of capitalâ is what could be produced by our second-best idea,â Buffett says, employing a common-sense approach completely at odds with the highly theoretical, academic notion employed by most companies to justify whatever spending they were going to do anyway. âIâve heard so many ideas about âcost of capital,ââ Buffett begins to expand his answer, but Munger cuts him off.
âIâve never heard an intelligent one,â Charlie says flatly.
When the laughter subsides, Buffett resumes the discussion, heavy on reality and light on theory: âWe bought a company day before yesterday (an electricity transmission company in Alberta), and we are spending close to $3 billion (on the deal), and we think we will be better off financially, and that was the best use of our $3 billion that day.â
âCost of capitalâ dispensed with, the meeting moves on.
Envy Dampeners
A shareholder wants to know why Berkshire doesnât disclose more about the salaries paid to its top earners in its securities filings, the way many other companies do.
Itâs an interesting and timely question, coming in the aftermath of the financial crisis, which started a trend towards more complete disclosure by all public companies, especially financial giants like Berkshire.
Like âcost of capital,â this notion has a nice-sounding label: âtransparency.â
And like âcost of capital,â Buffett will have none of it, and neither will Munger.
âThereâs a real question whether itâs in the interest of the company,â Buffett says, recalling his days as interim CEO of Salomon Brothers, when disclosure of salaries backfired. âVirtually everybody was disappointed with what they were getting paid ⊠they looked at what everyone else was getting and it drove them crazy.â
Munger adds, âIn a spirit of âtransparencyâ youâre asking for something that wouldnât be good for shareholders âŠ. I would say that envy is doing the country a lot of harm, and our practices are envy dampeners.â
âTransparencyâ unmasked, Buffett is asked by another shareholder to describe Berkshireâs âweak points.â
And his answer is itself a weak point.
Sweep Accounts and the Alzheimerâs Home
Buffett avoids the substance of the question altogether (the weak points at Berkshire Hathaway, as Buffett knows, would certainly include the retailing businesses, which are being undermined by the Internet in general and Amazon.com in particular) because he also knows that many of the managers of those businesses are sitting in the arena here today, and he would never want to embarrass them.
So he gropes for something substantive to say that isnât hurtful to anyone before latching onto the lack of âsweep accountsâ at Berkshireâs many operating companies. The idea is that Berkshire could make a few extra dollars if it stripped all its companiesâ cash out every night, but nobodyâs buying it as a âweak point,â so Buffett moves on to one that is more substantive: the fact that he and his business partner are âslow to make management changes,â a well-known trait of theirs, but also not particularly offensive to anyone here in the arena.
Munger swiftly elaborates on the management issue by telling a brief, Charlie-being-Charlie story about how he and Buffett act so slowly moving out aging CEOs that âyou and I took one man from the executive chair to the Alzheimerâs home.â It shocks the audience when they realize heâs not kidding.
Then, as the uncertain laughter dies down, Munger softens the matter-of-fact harshness of his story by adding, âwe made it easy for the man.â
Ignorance Removal
Jonathan Brandtâone of the three analysts asking questions todayâqueries Buffett about the declining prospects at Seeâs Candies, one of the best acquisitions Berkshire ever made, but a business that now seems past its prime.
Buffett has long lauded Seeâs profitability as well as its products, keeping a conspicuous box of Seeâs peanut brittle on the table between himself and Munger during the Q&A session every year.  Butâand quite surprisingly, given his reluctance to say anything less than glowing about a Berkshire business in publicâhe admits the prospects for boxed chocolate makers have diminished over the years. Even more surprisingly, he offers no prospect it will get better.
Still, Buffett points out, as he has in the past, Seeâs âopened my eyes to the power of brandsâŠ. In 1972 we bought Seeâs and in 1988 we bought Coke.â
Munger concurs. âThereâs no question about the fact its main contribution to Berkshire was ignorance removal,â he says. âThe secret to Berkshire is we are good at ignorance removal.â
After some laughter, Munger adds, âThe good news is we have a lot of ignorance left to remove.â
A logical follow-up to the Seeâs question comes to mind: did Buffettâs habit of taking most of his companiesâ cash to invest in other opportunities (see Chapter 36, Decline and Fall of the Sainted Seven, in âSecrets in Plain Sight: Business and Investing Secrets of Warren Buffett,â eBooks on Investing 2014) hurt Seeâs ability to expand over the years?
Unfortunately, it isnât asked.
I Donât Want to be Holier Than Thou
What is asked is a question about a popular tax-dodge technique currently all the rage among major US corporations.
Asked by a shareholder if Buffett would consider doing a âtax inversionââwhereby US companies buy foreign companies in low-tax jurisdictions, change their corporate address to the low-tax country and thereby massively cut their cash taxesâBuffett says flatly, âThe answer to that is no.â
Munger concurs. âI think it would be crazy to be as prosperous as Berkshire and get our taxes to zero.â
When applause starts to ripple through the arena, however, Buffett tamps it down.
âI donât want to be holier-than-thou,â he says, noting, âThe wind deals we do (Berkshire Hathaway Energy is the biggest wind farm operator in the country), the solar deals we do, those are tax-driven. They wouldnât make economic sense otherwise.â
Itâs an answer that will drive more than a few editorial opinion writers crazyâWarren Buffett admitting he uses the tax code to cut Berkshireâs tax bill. But if they had been paying attention over the years it wouldnât have surprised them in the least.
What might have surprised them, however, is how well Warren and Charlie are doing here today.
Both Lennon and McCartney
Buffett and Munger havenât slowed down one bit.
The meeting started at 9:30 a.m., broke for lunch at noon, resumed a bit after 1 p.m. and will go until just after 3:30 p.m.
Thanks to the more controlled format, with reporters and analysts sharing questions with shareholders, the number of âWhat should I do with my life?â-type questions has been cut almost to zero.
Also, since Buffett didnât give his usual warning about âno two-part questionsâ at the start, he and Munger have been getting a number of two-or-three-part questions all along. So while they will collectively take questions from 62 individuals today, the total number of questions theyâll answer will be closer to 70ânearly 50% more than when it was a shareholders-only Q&A.
Even better, since so few of them are about life-lessons from Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger will speak up on all but three questions the entire day.
Itâs like getting both Lennon and McCartney, not just one or the other.
In fact, the Beatles analogy seems exact: Buffett as Paul McCartney: amiable, eager to please, but very likely the smartest guy in the room. Munger, of course, as pure John Lennon: just as sharp and just as quick, but, best of all, more inclined so say exactly whatâs on his mind.
For example âŠ
Weâre Very Peculiar
On the returns generated by corporate acquisitions: âI think the sum total of all acquisitions done by American industry will be lousy,â says Munger. âItâs in the nature of corporations to be talked into dumb deals.â
Berkshireâs acquisition styleâbuying great businesses at reasonable prices and holding them foreverâis, he says, quite different from the norm.
âWeâre very peculiar.  Luckily a lot of people donât want to be peculiar in our way.
The Pursuit of the Uneatable by the Unspeakable
Not surprisingly, Munger disapproves of the current fad of âactivistâ investors pushing public companies to get their stock price up any way they can.
âIn the culture we live in most people donât care how the money is earned, they just care about the money âŠ. Reminds me of Oscar Wildeâs definition of fox-hunting: âThe pursuit of the uneatable by the unspeakable.ââ
Itâs Slow
On why Berkshire doesnât get more âcopycats,â Munger says simply, âI think it just looks too hard to do. Itâs slow.â
The Behavior on Wall Street is Remarkably Improved
On whether the U.S. government should bring criminal charges against bankers for their behavior during the financial crisis: âI think the behavior on Wall Street is remarkably improved,â he says, but adds, âProsecution of individuals does more to stop bad behaviorâ than prosecuting companies.
Where Do You Think Weâre Vulnerable?
On the topic of the Internet, Munger says flatly, âI think the Internet is very disruptive. It is changing the world. I think retail is especially going to be hurt.â
Buffett immediately follows up by asking his partner, âWhere do you think weâre most vulnerable?â
It is a question that almost certainly rings in the ears of the many managers and employees from the Berkshire retail businesses, ranging from Borsheims to Ben Bridge Jeweler to Nebraska Furniture Mart, who are sitting in the arena today, but Munger demurs. âWell, I donât want to say,â he says carefully.
âNow youâve got them all wondering,â Buffett grumbles, to laughter.
If This Is Failure, I Want More Of It
When the subject of Berkshireâs relative underperformance in 2013 comes up, both men defend the status quoâbut Munger makes the case far more forcefully than his partner.
âIn the last two years the book value of Berkshire has gone up $90 billion pre-tax,â Munger says the first time the issue comes up. He lets that sink in before adding, âIf this is failure, I want more of it.â
It brings down the house.
And when the topic reoccurs during the last question of the dayââIs there a practical way to break up Berkshire Hathaway into four companies?â a shareholder asksâBuffett tries to respond logically while his partner goes for the gut.
âWe would lose value,â Buffett says. âThere are large advantagesâ to Berkshire staying together, he adds without elaborating. âThereâs no advantage (to splitting up). It would be a terrible mistake.â
Munger doesnât argue the matter. He simply concludes the discussion, and ends the afternoon session, by referring to the move in Berkshireâs Class A stock during the last four years from below $100,000 per share to nearly $200,000 as of todayâs meeting: âYouâre not being deprived when the stock goes from $100 to $200,â he says drily.
The Dynamic Duo
There was one more difference between this yearâs meeting and last, besides the lack of Warren Buffett photos around town and the brouhaha over the Coca Cola vote, and it involved something thatâs been on the minds of Berkshire Hathaway shareholders for years.
Calling Buffett and Munger a âdynamic duo,â a shareholder inquired whether there is âa successor for Charlie?â
Itâs a question that had never been asked before.
Most 90-Year Old Men in the World Are Gone Soon Enough
Buffett first responded with a joke about Charlieâs ageââWell, Charlie is my canary in the coal mine,â he said. âCharlie turned 90 and Iâm finding it very encouraging how heâs handling middle age.â
After the laughter died down, Buffett turned serious, describing how other companies such as Coca Cola and Cap Cities ran very successfully when a pair of âcomplementaryâ executives shared the load. âItâs a great way to operate,â he said, adding heâd be âvery surprisedâ if his successor didnât have an alter ego like Charlie. âBut so far nobodyâs brought up any successor to Charlie.â
Munger dismissed the issue, and his own importance in the continued success of Berkshire Hathaway, as only he can. âI donât think the world has much to worry about. Most 90 year-old men in the world are gone soon enough.â
Sixty-two-year-old men, however, are a different matter.
The Only Succession for Ajit Would Be Reincarnation
Asked early in the meeting today who will succeed Ajit Jain, the 62 year-old head of Berkshire Hathawayâs giant reinsurance business, Buffettâs answer was swift and certain.
âThe only succession for Ajit would be reincarnation,â he said flatly.
Buffettâs admiration for Ajit Jain is well known. He wrote, âAjitâs mind is an idea factoryâ in this yearâs shareholder letter, and has mentioned Jain glowingly several times todayâand in ways that made it clear Ajit runs his own show.
For example, asked about providing insurance for railroads moving crude oilâa high-risk business if ever there was oneâBuffett says, âAjit has offered some very high limits, but they (the railroads) donât like his price.â
Moreover, he has depicted Jain not merely as the head of a Berkshire subsidiary, but as a business partner, akin to Charlie Munger.  For example, when asked about the impact of climate change on Berkshireâs operations, Buffett began his answer, âWhen Ajit and I talk about what weâll charge for catastrophes âŠâ
It was a very telling moment, and left few doubts as to who has been tapped to be Berkshire Hathawayâs CEO if and when Warren Buffett can no longer fulfill that role.
But it was the cartoon during todayâs movie that really said it all.
87% Chance of Winning
The cartoon is an innocuous bit of fun that always kicks off the movie that starts the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting.
And todayâs cartoon seemed to be nothing specialâa standard Berkshire-esque fantasy about a U.S.-Russia face off in the Olympics ice hockey final (the timing was unfortunate, because in the real world Russia has been ripping apart Ukraine)âbut its subliminal message was very special.
The premise is that the U.S. hockey team has been mysteriously taken ill at the last minute, and Buffett recruits his Berkshire friends to take their placeâCharlie Munger, board members Bill Gates and Tom Murphy, GEICOâs Tony Nicely, and a cartoon version of âMrs. Seeâ from the Berkshire-owned candy companyâagainst the Russians, who are drawn as large goons that sayâand I am not making this upââWe make minced borsch out of you, ha ha ha.â (I said it was nothing special.)
However, the coach of the Berkshire team just happens to be Ajit Jain.
And when the team is in danger of losing, Coach Jain draws up an amusingly complex final play, as youâd expect from a guy who deals in complex reinsurance products.  In Jainâs real voice, he declares it gives the U.S. team âan 87% chance of winning.â
Of course, the play works: the U.S. scores the winning goal as time expires, and the cartoon Berkshire hockey team gathers to celebrate. While the credits roll, the Berkshire team tosses two figures in the air: Warren Buffett and Ajit Jain.
But itâs not just cartoons and kind words that make Ajit Jain the likely successor to Warren Buffett at the helm of Berkshire Hathaway.
Berkshire is, at its core, an insurance companyâand one with an unusual book of business that, in the case of the Lloyds of London asbestos claims for example, covers unknowable obligations stretching out for decades. And Warren Buffett is not going to trust his legacy to just anybody: he wants someone as capable of assessing risk as he isâsomeone who, as he put it several years ago, can âenvision things that have never happenedâ so that those obligations will be paid, and his legacy is never endangered.
Which means that, like all the âsecretsâ in âSecrets in Plain Sight: Business and Investing Secrets of Warren Buffett,â the last âsecretâ weâll reveal is sitting in plain sight: the most logical CEO successor to Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathawayâand, since Warren Buffett is a very logical man, the likely choice of the Berkshire boardâis Ajit Jain.
And that should be immensely reassuring to Berkshire Hathawayâs managers and investors for years to come.
Jeff Matthews
Author âSecrets in Plain Sight: Business and Investing Secrets of Warren Buffettâ
(eBooks on Investing, 2014)Â Â Â $2.99 Kindle Version at Amazon.com
© 2014 NotMakingThisUp, LLC
The content contained in this blog represents only the opinions of Mr. Matthews.  Mr. Matthews also acts as an advisor and clients advised by Mr. Matthews may hold either long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the blog based upon Mr. Matthewsâ recommendations. This commentary in no way constitutes investment advice, and should never be relied on in making an investment decision, ever. Also, this blog is not a solicitation of business by Mr. Matthews: all inquiries will be ignored. And if you think Mr. Matthews is kidding about that, he is not. The content herein is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the author.