Stocks Move Into A Correction

by Ryan Detrick, Chief Investment Strategist, LPL Financial

Wednesday, February 23, 2022

For the first time since March 2020, the S&P 500 Index officially moved into a correction, down 10.3% from the recent highs. Of course, many stocks have already been in a correction, with some even in bear markets. This is yet another potential worry for investors, but should it be?

ā€œLetā€™s remember the S&P 500 averages about one 10% correction a year. Given it has been nearly two years without one, you could make the argument stocks were definitely due,ā€ explained LPL Financial Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick.

View enlarged chart.

What now? The good news is stocks do quite well after corrections. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, this is the 33rd correction or bear market for the S&P 500 since 1950. ā€œAs uncomfortable and frustrating market corrections can be, investors need to remember that future returns after such pain can bring a lot of gains,ā€ added Ryan. In fact, after previous corrections and bear markets, the S&P 500 rose nearly 90% of the time a year or two later, with very strong returns.

View enlarged chart.

With the economy still strong and many signs of over-the-top negative sentiment, we doubt the S&P 500 will move into a bear market (down 20% or more), with a major low likely coming fairly soon. Here we show all the 10-15% corrections since 1980. Again, strong future returns are normal.

View enlarged chart.

For more on the recent market volatility, inflation, monetary policy, and some favorite charts, please watch the latest LPL Market Signals podcast with Scott Brown and Ryan Detrick, as they break it all down.

 

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
This material is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. There is no assurance that the views or strategies discussed are suitable for all investors or will yield positive outcomes. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change.
References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment and do not reflect fees, expenses, or sales charges. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results.
Any company names noted herein are for educational purposes only and not an indication of trading intent or a solicitation of their products or services. LPL Financial doesnā€™t provide research on individual equities. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, LPL Financial makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.
All index and market data from FactSet and MarketWatch.
This Research material was prepared by LPL Financial, LLC.
Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial (LPL), a registered investment advisor and broker-dealer (member FINRA/SIPC).
Insurance products are offered through LPL or its licensed affiliates.Ā  To the extent you are receiving investment advice from a separately registered independent investment advisor that is not an LPL affiliate, please note LPL makes no representation with respect to such entity.
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