by Jeff Matthews, Not Making This Up
Well props to âCD 105.9â is all I can think, driving east on Dodge Street in a cold rain to the Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting early on a dark Saturday morning.
The reason for my good mood? The Omaha âclassic rockâ station Iâve had my rental car radio set to the last three days is playing âBack in the USSR,â making this the first time Iâll have been to a Berkshire meeting with Paul McCartneyâs Beatles-era send-up of communist Russia ringing in my ears.
âLet me hear your balalaikas ringing out/come and keep your Comrade warm/Iâm back in the USSR/You donât know how lucky you are, boy/Back in the USSR.â
What better way to get ready for Warren Buffettâs âWoodstock for Capitalistsâ than that?
Unfortunately, while CD 105.9 manages to mix more Beatles into its playlist than most âclassic rockâ formats do (they played âWith a Little Help From My Friendsâ twice in two days)âsomething Iâve never quite understood, since The Beatlesâ catalogue is about as âclassicâ as it getsâthe good vibes never last long because the station also plays an inexplicably heavy rotation of Bob Seger.
Enough about him.
Pondering this strange play list as the final A chord on âUSSRâ fades out, I focus on my driving, because thereâs still snow on the ground here in Omahaâunusual at this time of year, when the fields should be springing to lifeâand the roads are slick with rain, which is why theyâve already opened up the CenturyLink arena to Berkshire shareholders and Buffett groupies instead of forcing them to wait outside until the normal 7 a.m. doors-open time, according to a text message from a waiting acquaintance whoâs already nabbed a seat inside and is saving one for me.
Disoriented in Downtown Omaha
But itâs not just the early morning darkness and wet roads causing me to pay more attention than usual.
Omahaâs had a growth spurt since last yearâs meeting, a fact Iâd discovered last night trying to find the Hilton, which is right next door to the CenturyLink Center (where the meeting takes place), and both the hotel and the arena used to stand out like the Empire State Building (in its heyday) above an otherwise barren strip of vacant lots and highway exit ramps just a few blocks from downtown Omaha.
But most of those lots have given way to multi-story parking garages, hi-tech warehouses, bustling industrial buildings and a baseball stadium (Omaha hosts the college world series every summer), causing me to lose my bearings more than once last night and prompting me to pay attention this morning.
(Itâs not just the business district thatâs growing: the Old Market areaâOmahaâs Soho, if you willâis changing, too. What used to be not much more than a square city block of jarring cobblestone streets and red bricked restaurants, bars and the occasional shop has spread into neighboring streets, with new restaurants everywhere and even a near-high-rise condo building going up along its fringe.)
I park on a side street in a metered spot a few blocks from the CenturyLinkâthe parking meters arenât used on Saturdays (a little trick to save the $8 they now charge for event parkingâŠI could swear it was $5 last year)âand head to the show while admiring the new buildings, which seem to be everywhere.
Itâs almost Miami-esque, at least in terms of quantity if not in bling. After all, the Midwest doesnât do bling.
Not Exactly âHard Time Mississippiâ
It does do volatile weather, of course, and the cold rain has eliminated the usual long lines of eager shareholders waiting for the doors to open, pushing everyone inside to find a seat and then get coffee before the movie starts.
I find my seat and settle down while absorbing the scene inside the arena, where 19,000 other people are finding their seats while Stevie Wonderâs gritty âLiving For the Cityâ plays on the sound systemâpainting quite a verbal contrast with the very rich, urbane crowd gathering here: âA boy is born/in hard time Mississippi/surrounded by four walls that ainât so pretty/his parents give him love and affection/to keep him strong, moving in the right direction/Living just enough, just enough for the cityâŠâ
Paul Simonâs âThe Boy In the Bubbleâ comes on next, its terrific beat marred by reference to âthe bomb in the baby carriage,â which is a little to close to the recent events in Boston for comfort, so I head out to try to find Mario Gabelli, who usually works the floor for investment ideas from locals he has been grilling for decades, as only Mario can, and immediately bump into Doug Kass and his son Noah.
Doug is the short-seller Buffett has chosen to be on the panel of three analysts asking questions (in conjunction with another panel of three reporters asking questions, with shareholders making up the rest), and we hug despite him carrying a bulging briefcase and a clutch of papers.
Dougie is prepared, as well he should be, but thatâs no surprise to me. We go way back to the early days of TheStreet.com, where the strictures of a for-profit enterprise eventually led me to start this not-for-profit blog, and Iâve always admired his willingness to say what he means and mean what he says without the need for crowd approvalâa trait that will come in handy today.
Daniel in the Lionâs Den
It is, of course, a very good year for Buffett to include a short-seller on his panel, because so very little has gone wrong for Berkshire lately.
No health scare flare-ups have occurred for Buffett (at least, publicly), and none of his CEOs have flamed out in the spectacular fashion of David Sokol two years back, although Buffett did fire the CEO of Benjamin Moore rather abruptly last summer, prompting speculation it was for behavior unbecoming a CEO (according to the New York Post it was a flamboyant boat trip that was the last straw, which Buffett later denied).
Furthermore, business at Berkshire is smoking, as the earnings release last night showed. Berkshire is, at its heart, an American companyâwith one big railroad, several energy utilities and multiple manufacturing companies driving the numbers, while insurance provides the cash for Buffett to spend as he thinks rational. And since most of those operations are largely in the US, and since the US is doing far better than Europe at the moment, and since much of our economic improvement is related to the housing business, where Berkshire has a big footprint, the numbers were really good.
On top of all that, the derivatives bets Buffett made several years ago (essentially selling insurance against a market decline) have recovered along with the Europe bourses, reversing bookkeeping losses that piled up during the take-your-pick-which-southern-European-countryâs-meltdown-will-hit-the-front-page-today period one or two years ago.
Oh, and he just bought Heinz in partnership with an investor group he admires, which should be a good long-term deal for Berkshire, and yet he still has $49 billion of cash to invest.
All in all, Dougie could not have picked a tougher year to accept Buffettâs challenge to play the skeptic in front of 19,000 people in one arenaâ19,000 people who pretty much worship, or at least admire, if not adore, Warren Buffett.
But accept it he did, and he seems remarkably calm but fired up. He proudly introduces me to his son, I wish him luck and move on, but never manage to find Mario before the movie begins at 8:30 on the dot.
Breaking Funny
The movie is almost all new, and almost all the same.
Thereâs a cartoon and plenty of Berkshire-company ads, including one laugh-out-loud GEICO commercial; a Jon Stewart love-fest video clip; and the always-included Salomon Brothers testimony by which Buffett reinforces the Berkshire culture for every manager in room: âLose money and I will be understanding; lose one shred of our reputation and I will be ruthless.â
Thereâs a terrific video bit (a very funny âBreaking Badâ takeoff in which Brian Cranston and his partner-in-crime are using their desert lab to make peanut brittle, and Buffett wants to buy him out before it damages Seeâs Candies) and the whole thing concludes with the usual celebration of Berkshireâs managers, only the tune is no longer âMy Favorite Things,â itâs âYMCA.â
âWe love the managers of B-R-K-Aâ is the chorus, with lyrics that name all the usual suspects in Berkshireâs management pantheon. Soon ballroom lights start dancing around the arena and then in come cheerleaders (University of Nebraska, natch), waving pompons and signs with the Berkshire stock ticker letters.
The crowd follows their lead, gets to its feet and is soon doing the âYMCAâ movesâŠ.
Poor Doug Kass.
Buffett Steals a Railroad
Buffett starts off the Q&A, as he always does, reviewing the just-reported earnings, but without the usual management blather about âbeating the analyst consensusâ or âexecuting our key strategies,â or, most nauseatingly, âdriving value for our shareholders.â
Instead he sums things up quite simply: âIt was a benign quarter in insurance and our other business did quite well.â He notes with modesty that, âfortunately, a lot of oil has been found very close to our railroad tracks,â so the Burlington Northern railroad is moving a lot oilâmore than half a million barrels a day, which is staggering considering that amounts to 10% of all the oil produced in the United States. Itâs also pumped up the profits of the BNSF like nobodyâs business: car loadings in the quarter were up the most of the four Class 1 railroads.
In hindsight, Buffett stole the BNSF. He doesnât say that out loud, of course. But he really did steal it.
This is the math: Berkshire paid 3-times revenue, 8.75-times âEBITDAâ (which Buffett dismisses as a number subject to manipulationâa bit disconcerting since every company in America waves a highly subjective, non-GAAP âEBITDAâ number in front of Wall Streetâs analysts, like a shiny object in front of a dog) and 12.5-times his preferred number: pre-taxes and pre-interest income.
But BNSFâs revenue has grown nearly 40% since the deal closed and pre-tax income has risen 50%.
Thus, on 2012 earnings, Berkshire paid only 7.25-times pre-tax, pre-interest earnings for the Burlington Northern and Sante Fe Railroad. Union Pacific, Burlingtonâs sole competitor in the western states, on the other hand, today trades at 9-times, and that is without any acquisition premium.
So he really did steal itâfor $45 billion.
The Fifth Most Valuable Company
Buffett finishes the preliminaries with a slide showing the five largest market-cap companies, which today includes BRK/A.
âWeâre now the fifth most valuable company in the world,â he says, drawing applause from the crowd, but, again, he doesnât play the CEO game where the CEO gripes about the stock price and how Wall Street analysts misunderstand how great the company is: he simply says, âThat can change over time, but I hope it changes for the better.â
(He also makes an interesting remark about the US Dollar: âWe have so many different operationsâŠIâve never been able to figure out [how moves in the dollar affect Berkshire].â And thatâs very interesting, because Warren Buffett hasnât been able to figure it out, and you can bet heâs tried to. Also, if he canât figure it out, nobody else will be able to figure it out.)
Better Questions, Better Answers
Now the questions begin, and while the presence of a short-seller on the panel has generated most of the excitement in the press leading up to the meeting, it is the presence of another analyst, Jonathan Brandt, that makes it interesting almost immediately, for Brandt asks sharp questions about individual businesses ranging from ISCAR to Benjamin Moore to Fruit of the Loomâquestions that have never been asked here before.
So, for the first time since Berkshire became a conglomerate and the shareholder meetings turned into a kind of therapeutic self-help mass feel-good gathering, we will really learn something about Berkshireâs non-insurance operations.
For example, the CEO of Benjamin Moore was fired last summer notâas the New York Post reportedâbecause of a lavish boat outing: it was because âthe company was investigating moves that would have violated the promiseâ Buffett tells us he made to Benjamin Mooreâs independent dealers when he bought the company, i.e. that he would not move distribution into the Lowes and Home Depots of the world.
Thatâs interesting, itâs worth knowing, and itâs the first time outside of the David Sokol affair that we really learned something about why Buffett made a management change at one of Berkshireâs businesses.
And while there is much more along those lines today, the happiest aspect of the meeting, from my point of view, is that Charlie Munger shows no signs of slowing down.
It Will Still Be Pleasant
Thanks to the new Q&A system, very few of the old âWhat should I do with my life?â type questions are getting asked, which means Munger has a role in answering nearly all of them.
For example, when asked about the prospect of Buffettâs 45-year streak of beating the S&P 500 over every five-year period coming to an end this year, Buffett acknowledges âit wonât be a happy dayâŠbut it comes in a period when the market has gone up every year the last five years.â
Munger, however, says simply, âI donât pay much attention whether itâs five years or three yearsâŠweâre slowing down but it will still be pleasant.â
Foreign Tissues Will Be Rejected
Buffett, for his part, is in good form too. Asked what worries him, Buffett says, as youâd expect, âPreserving the culture,â while adding, âAny foreign-type behavior would be rejected like a foreign tissue.â
But itâs Munger who tends to answer the question while also making the crowd laugh: âMy thoughts are very simpleâI want to say to the many Mungers in the audience, âdonât sell these shares.ââ
When Becky Quick asks about a report that Berkshireâs cut in the Heinz deal is better than his partnersâ share, Buffett denies it vigorously, going into some detail on the structure. Munger snaps, âThe report was totally wrong.â
Just Because Warren Thought Something Doesnât Mean Itâs a Law of Nature
Asked about his business partnerâs use of Twitter prior to the shareholder meeting (âWarren is in the house,â was the first message), Munger says, âItâs very hard for me to know anything about Twitter when Iâm avoiding it like the plague.â
And when Buffett is called to account for remarks he made some years ago about corporate profits being âextraordinaryâ and likely to come downâwhich has not yet happenedâMunger shrugs it off: âJust because Warren thought something 20 years ago doesnât mean itâs a law of nature.â
Asked how Buffettâs successor will deal with Berkshireâs highly decentralized, far-flung and informal corporate management structure, Munger dismisses it: âIf you run it as decentralized as we doâalmost to the point of abdicationâwhat difference does it make?â
Flimflam, Magic Potions and Pots & Pans
The nice thing about having a short-seller, two analysts and three reporters asking the bulk of the questions is that the questions are well informed, broad-ranging and intelligently worded: after all, no analyst or reporter wants to look stupid in front of 19,000 peopleâtwo of whom happen to be the smartest investors of their generation.
So interesting topics come up, like Bill Ackmanâs short position in multi-level-marketer Herbalife, which reporter Andrew Ross Sorkin brings up before asking whether Ackmanâs critique of that business model calls into question Berkshireâs Pampered Chef direct-sales business.
(Funny enough, Ackman is âin the houseâ here: heâs hard to miss, being NBA-height in a very non-NBA-height crowd.)
Buffett offers a vigorous defense, saying Pampered Chef âis a million miles away fromâŠthis business of loading up peopleâ with products they canât sell, while Munger, as usual, is more succinct: âI think thereâs likely to be more flimflam selling magic potions than pots and pans.â
And that, as they say, is that.
I Wish Weâd Done It On Purpose
Itâs not all jokes and snappy comebacks, of course. Asked to âgive me the Peter Lynch two-minute monologueâ summing up Berkshire Hathawayâs competitive advantage, Buffett hands the question to Munger.
âWeâve always tried to stay sane when other people go crazy,â Munger says. âThatâs a sustainable advantage.
âNumber two, we treat other companies the way they want to be treated, and that is a competitive advantageâ in making acquisitions.
âNumber three, weâve partnered with good people and that is a competitive advantage.â Still, Munger canât resist ending with a joke: âThose were all a very good idea, and I wish weâd done it on purpose.â
The Fattest Rolodex in the World
Asked if Burlingtonâs rail franchise is threatened by the decline in coal demand (one of the excellent questions by Jonathan Brandt), and whether the crude oil-by-rail bonanza is likely to end as pipelines get built, Buffett says, âWell, if there was no coal moving we wouldnât have a lot of use for some of the tracks we have⊠In terms of oil, I think the view a few years ago was there might be a blipâŠbut Iâve talked to some crude oil producersâŠand I think there will be a lot of rail usage for a long time.â (And since Buffett has the fattest Rolodex in the business worldâliterallyâyou can bet heâs talked to oil producers who know what theyâre talking about.)
He also points out that âoil moves faster by rail than pipeline,â which is quite true: oil flows through pipelines at around 2 miles an hour, on averageâweâre not talking fire-hoses here.
Do You Know and Believe In Jesus Christ?
The significance of those two questionsâand Buffettâs answersâis they would probably not have gotten asked during the all-shareholder Q&A format a few years ago, when high school students asked what they should do with their lives (Iâm not making that up), teachers asked how they could draw out their shy students (not making that up, either), and, once, a man from Norman Oklahoma asked âDo you know and believe in Jesus Christ and do you have a personal relationship with God?â (Buffett answered that one straight ahead, without a pause, and you can read his answer in âSecrets in Plain Sight: Business and Investing Secrets of Warren Buffettâ on Amazon Kindle.)
But thereâs another question that would never have gotten asked, even by the reporters in the crowdâthat is asked today by Doug Kass, who makes good on Buffettâs desire to âspice things upâ at the meeting.
Before we get to that, though, an observation about todayâs proceedings is in order.
The CenturyLink Centerâs arena, where the Q&A takes place, is packedâliterally to the rafters.
And while you might think that means todayâs meeting is far better attended than last yearâs, which was materially less well attended than the year before (when the David Sokol Affair prompted a whole lot of attention on the meeting), the reason has less to do with a bigger crowd than with less space for everyone to sit down here.
This is something I discover during lunch, when I go to the exhibition hall to talk to Berkshire managers (my favorite part of the meeting, Charlie Mungerâs answers aside) and realize the exhibition hall is so full of new Berkshire company displays that it no longer carves out satellite areas with bleachers and large screens where shareholders can watch the proceedings outside the claustrophobic arena, which holds 19,000 in hard, uncomfortable folding seats.
Thereâs a huge new Brooks running shoe display in the back of the exhibition hall, and the recently acquired Oriental Trading Company is doing land office business selling Warren and Charlie rubber duckies near the front entrance (âTheyâre only $2, what the heck?â seems to be the reaction, given the line).
So while it may feel more crowded this year, it isnât.
But that doesnât mean the crowd is any less enthusiastic than years past: after all, Berkshireâs stock is at a new all-time highâ$162,904 per share for the A shares on the close Friday.
And considering that those same âAâ shares were trading at $16 the day Buffett took control on May 10, 1965, well, itâs no surprise the crowd is feeling upbeat.
How Good Is Warren Buffettâs Track Record, Really?
But how good is Warren Buffettâs track record, really?
Well, Berkshireâs stock has appreciatedâthis is appreciation only, no dividends, mind youâ981,150% since May 10, 1965.
And if youâd put $16 into the S&P 500 instead of into one share of Berkshire on that same day, your share of the S&P 500 wouldnât be worth $162,905 today from appreciation (weâre leaving out the dividends for now.)
In fact, your S&P 500 share wouldnât be worth $100,000 today.
It wouldnât even be worth $10,000 today.
It would be worth about $600.
Throw in dividends and youâre north of $1,000 but south of $2,000 on your $16 investment. The Berkshire shareholder has $162,904.
Thatâs how good Warren Buffetâs track record really is.
Hemming and Hawing
Still, Buffett is human, and his response to a question about what, exactly, IBMâs âcompetitive moatâ may be (from a Los Angeles-area Microsoft engineer) is not just inadequate, itâs downright disturbing:
âI donât understand the moat around IBM as well as I do around Coca Cola,â Buffett says, adding, âThereâs nothing that precludes both Microsoft that you mentioned and IBM [from doing well over time],â even though the engineer only mentioned Microsoft so Buffett knew where he was coming from.
IBM, for the record, is a company whose revenues have stayed dead flat from 2008 to 2012 (at $103 billion), yet has managed to grow operating income by nearly $5 billion, thanks to a flat expense line and rising gross margins.
If youâre an IBM shareholder, thatâs great, because itâs clear IBMâs management team is âadding value to shareholders.â But if youâre an IBM customer, thatâs annoying, because IBMâs management is clearly extracting value from its customers through higher prices and better-margined products.
What with all the cloud-based alternatives to the kind of high-cost, hard-to-get-rid-of software IBM specializes in, itâs no wonder IBMâs sales have declined the last six months, at an accelerating pace.
But Buffett does not get into the details, because he doesnât seem to know them. He merely says, âI think their odds are goodâ and then goes into a discourse on IBMâs balance sheet that, unfortunately, does not give anyone warm and fuzzies about Berkshireâs massive IBM investment:
âThey incidentally have a very large pension obligation,â Buffett says. âIt is a big annuity company on the side. I would rather they didnât have that. ... The liabilities are a lot more certain than the assets over time.â
The whole thing is disturbing, coming as it does from a guy who can tell you how much it costs GEICO to get a new customer ($250 up front), what the net present value of that customer will be ($1,500), how many new policies GEICO hopes to write this year (1 million) and what share that will be of all new auto policies in the US (40%).
But Buffett more than makes up for the IBM fumble when he is asked another, tougher question. âA spicy meatballâ is what a friend of mine calls these questionsâand a very spicy meatball it is when Doug Kass asks, with the utmost delicacy and respect, about Buffett anointing his son, Howard, to take his place as Chairman of Berkshire when Buffett is gone.
Protector of the Culture
Doug begins by saying he means no disrespect to Buffett by bringing up the topic in front of Buffettâs friends and familyânot to mention Howard Buffett himself. âMy own son Noah is here with me,â Doug adds, before asking the best (and most important) question of the day: âHow is Howard Buffett the most qualified person to be chairman of Berkshire?â
Buffett, as he always does, answers it straight ahead.
âIt is not his job to run the business or to allocate capital or anything else,â Buffett says, stressing that Howard will be a ânon-executive Chairman.â
But âif a mistake is made in picking the CEO,â Buffett says, âhe is there as protector of the cultureâŠ. I know of nobody that will feel more responsible for thatâŠâ
âHe has no illusions at all about running the business,â Buffett adds firmly, and then explains the simple practicality behind the move:
âI have seen many times...when a mediocre CEO, a likable guy, needs to be changed, but thatâs very hard to doâ because the CEO was also chairman of the board and he âcontrols the agendaâ and puts his own friends on the board.
Buffett says, parenthetically, the requirement that âboards meet once a year without the CEO is a very big improvement because the board is a social group.â
âBoth Charlie and I have seen where a CEO who is 6 on a scale of 10â stays in place. âIt could be very hard to make that changeâ without a chairman who cares about the Berkshire culture.
Munger pitches in with his usual objective clarity: âYou gotta remember the board owns a lot of stock. Weâre not trying to gum it up for the shareholders.â Furthermore, âIt helps to have some objective personâ chairing the board. âI think the Mungers will be a lot safer with Howard there.â
That highlight over, the meeting moves quickly on...but it was a great question, and well answered. Throughout, the crowd was as silent and attentive as Iâve ever heard it.
It was worth the whole meeting.
And not for nothing, every CEOâand every corporate board member, public or privateâshould have been here to see Doug ask the question (at any other meeting Dougâs microphone would have been turned off so fast it would have made his head spin), and to see both Warren and Charlie answer it, thoughtfully and at length.
When the topic switches to who will succeed Buffett as CEO (not as Chairman), Andrew Ross Sorkin asks if the CEO successor to Buffett isnât Ajit Jain, and why Buffett doesnât just say it is Ajit Jain.
But Buffett warns him off such speculation: âYou started with the Aâs and you wonât have any more luck when you get to the Bâs,â Buffett says, shutting down the discussion here, for now.
(For readers who want to know who it likely is, and why it will be good for Berkshire, âWarren Buffettâs Successor: Who It Is and Why It Mattersâ eBooks on Investing, 2013, answers the question even if Buffett will not.)
Finally, at 3:30 p.m., after five hours and 63 questions, Buffett ends the meeting to a round of applause from the remaining shareholders, who still fill two-thirds of the arena.
I return to my car and drive back to the hotel to write this up, âYou Canât Always Get What You Wantâ playing on my now-favorite Omaha station. Itâs a song title I think Charlie Munger might have written.
And speaking of Charlie Munger, a few more Mungerisms before we goâŠ
The Government Increased the Proof
On the devastating effect of Ben Bernankeâs ultra-low interest rate policy on retirees: âWell they had to hurt somebody, and the savers were convenient.â
On one other side effect of the low interest rate environment: âAll over the world the life insurance companies are suffering the tortures of hell.â
On how young money managers can attract investors when they have no track record: âIâm glad Iâm through with that particular problem.â
On how the Fed created the housing bubble: âAs things got crazier and crazier, the government could have pulled away the punch bowlâinstead the government increase the proof.â
And why nobody in the government has been held accountable for the bubble: âYouâre complaining about whatâs inevitable in life, and thatâs not a good idea.â
Like Using Rat Poison as Whipping Cream
On why they should never have let Greece join the EU: âIt was like using rat poison as whipping creamâŠthey lie about their taxesâŠEurope made terrible mistakes, but they have politicians like we do.â
Why Italy is not much better than Greece: âWhen the mail piles up they just throw some piles away.â
What Buffett should do before he bargain-hunts in Europe: âCall me if itâs in Greece.â
All Problems Are Trivial With 2% GDP Growth
On the relationship of US debt to GDP: âI donât think thereâs some relationship thatâs written in the stars.â
On the so-called $16 trillion debt burden: âMost of the debt is not even included in that number.â
On how to fix the debt problem: âAll our problems are trivial if GDP grows 2% a year from now on out.â
Trading Agony for Money
On forecasting the economy: âThatâs not a field where Iâve been any good.â
On Buffettâs stock gifts to Bill Gatesâ charity: âThereâs nothing so insignificant as an extra $2 billion to an old man.â
On self-confidence: âIf you think you know more than you do youâre asking for a lot of trouble.â
On when he and Buffett would consider splitting Berkshire stock: âI would not hold your breath.â
On whether Berkshire would give money to a short-seller: âThe answer to your question is NO. We donât like trading agony for money.â
My âToo Hardâ Pile
On whether the US airline industry is finally worth investing in, despite Buffettâs well-known aversion to it (a question that was asked by Bill Miller, famed for his 15 year âstreakâ of outperforming the S&P 500 at Legg Mason): âIt goes into my âtoo hardâ pile.â
The More Bankers Want to Be Less Like Bankers, the Less I Like It
On the US banking industry: âI'm a little less optimistic about the banking system longer term than you are... I do not see why massive derivative books should be mixed up with insured banks... The more bankers want to be less like bankers, the less I like it.â
The biggest threat to US competitiveness: âThe perfectly crazy outcomeâ of engineering graduates going into derivatives at banks.
Everlasting Learning
On whether Berkshire will get involved in helping its businesses manage their responsibilities under Obamacare: âWe like that kind of decision being made near the firing line.â
On Warren Buffettâs pondering out-loud âhow Iâd do if I managed money by the mathââmeaning computer screens: âYouâd do it poorly.â
On Berkshireâs new model of buying companies rather than managing stocks: âWeâre sort of in a different mode now⊠If we had stayed in our old mode we would not be so successful. The game of life is a game of everlasting learning. At least if you want to win.â
And weâll conclude with Buffettâs comment on that last answer from Munger: âAnd we want to win.â
No kidding.
Jeff Matthews
Author âWarren Buffettâs Successor: Who It Is And Why It Mattersâ
(eBooks on Investing, 2013) $2.99 Kindle Version at Amazon.com
© 2013 NotMakingThisUp, LLC
The content contained in this blog represents only the opinions of Mr. Matthews. Mr. Matthews also acts as an advisor and clients advised by Mr. Matthews may hold either long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the blog based upon Mr. Matthewsâ recommendations. This commentary in no way constitutes investment advice, and should never be relied on in making an investment decision, ever. Also, this blog is not a solicitation of business by Mr. Matthews: all inquiries will be ignored. And if you think Mr. Matthews is kidding about that, he is not. The content herein is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the author.
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