by Frank Holmes, U.S. Global Investors
Thatâs the question Harvard Business Schoolâs Diego Comin wanted to answer. His research analyzed how quickly 15 different technologiesâincluding steamships, the telegraph, the Internet, MRI scanners, electricityâhave been adopted by 166 different countries over the past two centuries to determine if there is a relationship between a countryâs historical rate of adoption and its per capita income.
He found that a strong association between the two exists. Not only did his research show that the United States and the United Kingdom had the fastest adoption rates, countriesâ delays âaccount for at least 25 percent of cross-country per capita income differences.â
The chart below shows this relationship between tech adoption and per capita income, with each countryâs data plotted relative to that of the U.S. The left axis plots how much longer a country took to incorporate a new technology compared to the U.S. in the number of years; the bottom axis charts the income per capita relative to the U.S. You can see that the bigger the lag in comparison to the U.S., the lower the income per capita tended to be, and vice versa.
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