Late Bull Stampede Turns Bears Into April Fools (Coté)

 

by Douglas Coté, Chief Investment Strategist, ING Investment Management

The bears grew hopeful early in the month, as global markets were spooked by goings-on in the euro zone: Spain briefly brought back fears of bailout Armageddon, the Dutch government collapsed, and PMI numbers for the region came in weaker than expected. April Fools! The bull market remains intact and offers compelling value for those looking to build wealth.

At its April trough, the S&P 500 was down 3.5% for the month. However, the bull awoke mid-April, prodded by relentless corporate strength that continues to confound Wall Street. Blockbuster corporate profits were led by financials, followed by industrials and put over the top by technology. With a meager 0.89% consensus expectation for first quarter earnings growth, Wall Street got it wrong; in fact, considering that first quarter earnings growth, at press time, stands at an explosive 8.8%, “got it wrong” is a serious understatement. The S&P 500 surged into the end of the month, making up nearly all its lost ground.

This performance is no joke for those who are missing out on an extraordinary bull market that has just entered its fourth year. It is not too late for savers to turn into investors, but this market’s persistent and determined march forward will not wait for the hesitant. Investors must resist the all-ornothing approach to risk; a moderate risk posture has been handsomely rewarded over the past three years despite pockets of extreme volatility.

The questions for investors to ask are how and when to invest. We get into the “how” below. The answer to “when” is more straightforward — immediately! Don’t delay, because every day is a good day to invest during a bull market.

 

ING Global Perspectives Monthly Commentary May 2012

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