Charlie Munger: A Lesson on Elementary, Worldly Wisdom As It Relates To Investment Management & Business

Just think of how narrowcast that kind of publishing is. So occasionally, scaling down and intensifying gives you the big advantage. Bigger is not always better.

The great defect of scale, of course, which makes the game interestingā€”so that the big people donā€™t always winā€”is that as you get big, you get the bureaucracy. And with the bureaucracy comes the territorialityā€”which is again grounded in human nature.

And the incentives are perverse. For example, if you worked for AT&T in my day, it was a great bureaucracy. Who in the hell was really thinking about the shareholder or anything else? And in a bureaucracy, you think the work is done when it goes out of your in-basket into somebody elseā€™s in-basket. But, of course, it isnā€™t. Itā€™s not done until AT&T delivers what itā€™s supposed to deliver. So you get big, fat, dumb, unmotivated bureaucracies.

They also tend to become somewhat corrupt. In other words, if Iā€™ve got a department and youā€™ve got a department and we kind of share power running this thing, thereā€™s sort of an unwritten rule: ā€œIf you wonā€™t bother me, I wonā€™t bother you and weā€™re both happy.ā€ So you get layers of management and associated costs that nobody needs. Then, while people are justifying all these layers, it takes forever to get anything done. Theyā€™re too slow to make decisions and nimbler people run circles around them.

The constant curse of scale is that it leads to big, dumb bureaucracyā€”which, of course, reaches its highest and worst form in government where the incentives are really awful. That doesnā€™t mean we donā€™t need governmentsā€”because we do. But itā€™s a terrible problem to get big bureaucracies to behave.

So people go to stratagems. They create little decentralized units and fancy motivation and training programs. For example, for a big company, General Electric has fought bureaucracy with amazing skill. But thatā€™s because they have a combination of a genius and a fanatic running it. And they put him in young enough so he gets a long run. Of course, thatā€™s Jack Welch.

But bureaucracy is terribleā€¦. And as things get very powerful and very big, you can get some really dysfunctional behavior. Look at Westinghouse. They blew billions of dollars on a bunch of dumb loans to real estate developers. They put some guy whoā€™d come up by some career pathā€”I donā€™t know exactly what it was, but it could have been refrigerators or somethingā€”and all of a sudden, heā€™s loaning money to real estate developers building hotels. Itā€™s a very unequal contest. And in due time, they lost all those billions of dollars.

CBS provides an interesting example of another rule of psychologyā€”namely, Pavlovian association. If people tell you what you really donā€™t want to hear whatā€™s unpleasantā€”thereā€™s an almost automatic reaction of antipathy. You have to train yourself out of it. It isnā€™t foredestined that you have to be this way. But you will tend to be this way if you donā€™t think about it.

Television was dominated by one networkā€”CBS in its early days. And Paley was a god. But he didnā€™t like to hear what he didnā€™t like to hear. And people soon learned that. So they told Paley only what he liked to hear. Therefore, he was soon living in a little cocoon of unreality and everything else was corruptā€”although it was a great business.

So the idiocy that crept into the system was carried along by this huge tide. It was a Mad Hatterā€™s tea party the last ten years under Bill Paley.

And that is not the only example by any means. You can get severe misfunction in the high ranks of business. And of course, if youā€™re investing, it can make a lot of difference. If you take all the acquisitions that CBS made under Paley, after the acquisition of the network itself, with all his advisorsā€”his investment bankers, management consultants and so forth who were getting paid very handsomelyā€”it was absolutely terrible.

For example, he gave something like 20% of CBS to the Dumont Company for a television set manufacturer which was destined to go broke. I think it lasted all of two or three years or something like that. So very soon after heā€™d issued all of that stock, Dumont was history. You get a lot of dysfunction in a big fat, powerful place where no one will bring unwelcome reality to the boss.

So life is an everlasting battle between those two forcesā€”to get these advantages of scale on one side and a tendency to get a lot like the U.S. Agriculture Department on the other sideā€” where they just sit around and so forth. I donā€™t know exactly what they do. However, I do know that they do very little useful work.

On the subject of advantages of economies of scale, I find chain stores quite interesting. Just think about it. The concept of a chain store was a fascinating invention. You get this huge purchasing powerā€”which means that you have lower merchandise costs. You get a whole bunch of little laboratories out there in which you can conduct experiments. And you get specialization.

If one little guy is trying to buy across 27 different merchandise categories influenced by traveling salesmen, heā€™s going to make a lot of poor decisions. But if your buying is done in headquarters for a huge bunch of stores, you can get very bright people that know a lot about refrigerators and so forth to do the buying.

The reverse is demonstrated by the little store where one guy is doing all the buying. Itā€™s like the old story about the little store with salt all over its walls. And a stranger comes in and says to the storeowner, ā€œYou must sell a lot of salt.ā€ And he replies, ā€œNo, I donā€™t. But you should see the guy who sells me salt.ā€

So there are huge purchasing advantages. And then there are the slick systems of forcing everyone to do what works. So a chain store can be a fantastic enterprise.

Itā€™s quite interesting to think about Wal-Mart starting from a single store in Bentonville, Arkansas against Sears, Roebuck with its name, reputation and all of its billions. How does a guy in Bentonville, Arkansas with no money blow right by Sears, Roebuck? And he does it in his own lifetimeā€”in fact, during his own late lifetime because he was already pretty old by the time he started out with one little storeā€¦.

He played the chain store game harder and better than anyone else. Walton invented practically nothing. But he copied everything anybody else ever did that was smartā€”and he did it with more fanaticism and better employee manipulation. So he just blew right by them all.

He also had a very interesting competitive strategy in the early days. He was like a prizefighter who wanted a great record so he could be in the finals and make a big TV hit. So what did he do? He went out and fought 42 palookas. Right? And the result was knockout, knockout, knockoutā€”42 times.

Walton, being as shrewd as he was, basically broke other small town merchants in the early days. With his more efficient system, he might not have been able to tackle some titan headon at the time. But with his better system, he could destroy those small town merchants. And he went around doing it time after time after time. Then, as he got bigger, he started destroying the big boys.

Well, that was a very, very shrewd strategy.

You can say, ā€œIs this a nice way to behave?ā€ Well, capitalism is a pretty brutal place. But I personally think that the world is better for having Wal-Mart. I mean you can idealize small town life. But Iā€™ve spent a fair amount of time in small towns. And let me tell you you shouldnā€™t get too idealistic about all those businesses he destroyed.

Plus, a lot of people who work at Wal-Mart are very high grade, bouncy people who are raising nice children. I have no feeling that an inferior culture destroyed a superior culture. I think that is nothing more than nostalgia and delusion. But, at any rate, itā€™s an interesting model of how the scale of things and fanaticism combine to be very powerful.

Total
0
Shares
Previous Article

The Enduring Popularity of Gold

Next Article

Sector Investing: Not Just for Equities Anymore

Related Posts
Subscribe to AdvisorAnalyst.com notifications
Watch. Listen. Read. Raise your average.