The Best-Performing Stock You’re Not Watching: How PGR Defies Market Volatility

by SIACharts.com

Progressive Corporation (PGR), currently holding the #1 position on the SIA S&P 500 Index Report, and has been in the favored position for the past year as seen in the attached SIA matrix position chart, demonstrating strong relative performance within the S&P 500 Index. The company has shown impressive absolute returns with an 8.03% gain in the last month, 14.84% in the last quarter, and 20.68% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the SIA Equal Weight Indexed S&P 500 benchmark (EWIIVV), which posted losses of -4.70% in the month, -4.77% in the quarter, and -1.39% year-to-date. With a low beta of 0.35, Progressive’s stock may be prone to exhibiting lower volatility compared to the broader market, potentially positioning it as less risky. Technically, the candlestick chart may point to trend support at $240 (see black trend line), resistance near $280, and additional support levels at $260 and $230, with current prices approaching resistance. Progressive, the second-largest auto insurer in the U.S. after State Farm, offers a broad range of insurance products, including coverage for vehicles, motorcycles, RVs, boats, and commercial vehicles, along with home, life, and pet insurance through partner companies. Given its strong market performance, stability, and growth potential, Progressive may be an appealing consideration for investors.

Progressive (PGR) has demonstrated strong performance on the point and figure analytics, with its stock showing solid relative strength and a perfect SIA SMAX score of 10 out of 10. This may indicate strong short-term performance across all asset classes, even amidst recent market fluctuations. The company’s technical setup, highlighted by an 8-year point and figure (P&F) chart, might reveal key support levels at $263.04, $233.57, and $220.10 (green lines), with resistance at $314.36 and $327.06, based on vertical counts from prior consolidations (red lines). Against the backdrop of the insurance sector, which is favored in the top 25% within the SIA Sector Report, Progressive’s performance is relatively well positioned within a strong sector of opportunity. The power of point and figure charts lies in their ability to filter out time-based noise, focusing purely on price movements to provide clear, actionable insights into long-term trends and breakout points. For investors looking to leverage these insights, SIACharts offers the tools and analytics needed to make informed, data-driven decisions. Sign up for a FREE trial today and discover how SIACharts can transform your advisory practice.

Disclaimer: SIACharts Inc. specifically represents that it does not give investment advice or advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment whatsoever. This information has been prepared without regard to any particular investors investment objectives, financial situation, and needs. None of the information contained in this document constitutes an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or other investment or an offer to provide investment services of any kind. As such, advisors and their clients should not act on any recommendation (express or implied) or information in this report without obtaining specific advice in relation to their accounts and should not rely on information herein as the primary basis for their investment decisions. Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuer reports or communications, or other sources, believed to be reliable. SIACharts Inc. nor its third party content providers make any representations or warranties or take any responsibility as to the accuracy or completeness of any recommendation or information contained herein and shall not be liable for any errors, inaccuracies or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon. Any statements nonfactual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change without notice.

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