Tesla Hits Stability at $250 – Will It Surge or Stall Next?

by SIACharts.com

Tesla Inc. is an American multinational automotive and clean energy company. Headquartered in Austin, Texas, it designs, manufactures, and sells battery electric vehicles, stationary battery energy storage devices (from home to grid scale), solar panels, solar shingles, and related products and services. Shares of Tesla have been under selling pressure since 2022, when they peaked at over $400 per share, only to retreat to as low as $100 a year later in early 2023. The shares then spiked to almost $300 that summer in a stunning rally, which again faced selling pressure, pulling back to $140 per share and establishing a higher bottom in the latest phase of consolidation. Share prices have since settled into a period of price discovery and stability, currently at $250. Once again, Tesla has become a favored stock on the SIA platform, as millions of comparative calculations position the stock in the SIA Favored Zone across various reports. Notably, in the large SIA Russell 1000 Index Report, Tesla is positioned at #152. In other SIA reports, it is also in the Favored Zone: #21 in the SIA S&P 100 Index Report, #14 in the SIA Nasdaq 100 Report, and #4 in the SIA Automotive Report. The full list of reports is attached for your comprehensive review. Next, let's turn to the weekly candlestick chart. We have highlighted in yellow the bulk of the remaining overhead resistance, and we have also marked two boxes in the volume area that indicate a marked increase in volume as shares moved down in value, having previously had lower volume metrics when the shares were at much higher prices. Additionally, a grey line marks the intermediate down trend line that appears to have been broken in the last several months around the $200 level, with shorter-term resistance at the red line of approximately $300 per share.

Also attached is the Point and Figure chart of TSLA, which allows readers to interpret support levels and the resistance levels that could materialize. Notable resistance levels include $296.28, followed by $314.42, $383.27, and the top line at $414.87. TSLA shares are currently at support on the 3-box reversal, with a small (short-term) trend line of support drawn around the psychological $200 whole number level. From an educational standpoint, Tesla shares provide an opportunity to discuss a powerful attribute of point and figure charting: the establishment of major trend lines. The major green trend line on the chart has been extended for effect. Note the double-sided arrows that illustrate the distance the share price moved from the trend line over time. It’s striking to see how far the price had moved away from the major trend line as shares exploded to the $400 level in 2022. A reversion to the mean is often observed in investing, and another hallmark of the SIA Ai platform is its ability to establish these differentials through millions of calculations. While the company continues to execute its strategic plans effectively and analysts report improving fundamentals, there are times when share prices simply get ahead of themselves and need a much-needed rest. Advanced SIA practitioners can observe this in the P&F charts and easily monitor those major trend lines, respecting the occasional reversion to them. The final piece of technical data we can glean from the chart is the SMAX, which is established using SIA's Ai comparison calculations against other equities, bonds, commodities, currencies, and cash. In this case, it has produced a ranking of 10 out of 10.

Disclaimer: SIACharts Inc. specifically represents that it does not give investment advice or advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment whatsoever. This information has been prepared without regard to any particular investors investment objectives, financial situation, and needs. None of the information contained in this document constitutes an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security or other investment or an offer to provide investment services of any kind. As such, advisors and their clients should not act on any recommendation (express or implied) or information in this report without obtaining specific advice in relation to their accounts and should not rely on information herein as the primary basis for their investment decisions. Information contained herein is based on data obtained from recognized statistical services, issuer reports or communications, or other sources, believed to be reliable. SIACharts Inc. nor its third party content providers make any representations or warranties or take any responsibility as to the accuracy or completeness of any recommendation or information contained herein and shall not be liable for any errors, inaccuracies or delays in content, or for any actions taken in reliance thereon. Any statements nonfactual in nature constitute only current opinions, which are subject to change without notice.

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