by AGF Investments
Members of AGF’s Investment Management Team weigh in on the week that was in global financial markets.
Technically Speaking
Softness earlier this week in equity markets may be partly attributed to the fact that some investors are selling their 2023 winners now, so they don’t pay capital gains tax until 2025, but it’s also possible that it’s because the market is overbought following the solid rally in stocks over the past few months.
The S&P 500 Index is still well within striking distance of topping its all-time closing high of 4796.56 and, technically speaking, could climb even higher near term if it can break through the 4800 level and stay there. Yet because the S&P 500 closed below a key support level of 4700 on Thursday, more weakness may be ahead in the short run.
A Growing Threat
The attack this week that killed about 100 Iranians at a memorial service in the city of Kerman for Iran’s former top general, Qassim Suleimani, comes just days after the assassination in Beirut of Saleh Arouri, an exiled Hamas official who acted as a liaison with Iran and Hezbollah. More targeted hits are likely, raising the threat of a widening war and oil price instability.
Dividends By a Nose
After lagging for most of 2023, the S&P/TSX Composite Index now has a trailing dividend yield that is slightly higher than the yield on a Canadian 10-year government bond. While the “advantage” is still less than a percentage point, it may tick even higher if bond yields continue to fall in anticipation of interest rate cuts this year. This could act as a catalyst for income-generating stocks, which, on par, were shunned this past year in comparison to the equity market overall.
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The views expressed in this blog are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of AGF, its subsidiaries or any of its affiliated companies, funds, or investment strategies.
Commentary and data sourced from Bloomberg, Reuters and other news sources unless otherwise noted. The commentaries contained herein are provided as a general source of information based on information available as of January 4, 2024 and are not intended to be comprehensive investment advice applicable to the circumstances of the individual. Every effort has been made to ensure accuracy in these commentaries at the time of publication, however, accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Market conditions may change and AGF Investments accepts no responsibility for individual investment decisions arising from the use or reliance on the information contained here.
This document may contain forward-looking information that reflects our current expectations or forecasts of future events. Forward-looking information is inherently subject to, among other things, risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed herein.
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