Did Imbalances Cause the Crisis?

But arguing that the imbalances played a sideshow in 2008-09 is not to claim that they are innocuous. They could still perpetrate the crisis predicted by the alarmists. As a matter of prudence, policies to contain them could still be warranted. The US fiscal deficit is a game changer in the debate, and it is already bridging the divisions between imbalance analysts. Policy options going forward will be the topic of a column for a future date.

References

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Bernanke, Ben S (2008), “Remarks on the Economic Outlook”, International Monetary Conference, Barcelona, Spain, 3 June

Bernanke, Ben S (2007), “Global Imbalances: Recent Developments and Prospects”, Speech delivered at Bundesbank Berlin September 11.

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Cooper, Richard N (2007), “Living with Global Imbalances”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2:91-107.

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DeLong, J Bradford (2008), “The Wrong Financial Crisis,” VoxEU.org, 10 October.

Dooley, Michael and Peter Garber (2009), “Global Imbalances and the Crisis: A Solution in Search of a Problem,” VoxEU.org, 21 March.

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Economic Report of the President (2010)

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