Doomberg: Trump, Energy Policy and Geopolitical Uncertainty

In this episode, Richard and Pierre are joined by the brilliant and always-provocative Doomberg. Known for slicing through political and energy-market noise with precision, Doomberg unpacks the seismic shifts rippling across the globe following the U.S. election.

From the resurrection of “Drill, Baby, Drill” to the strategic chessboard of Big Tech’s nuclear ambitions, Doomberg delivers his signature contrarian takes on the interplay of energy, geopolitics, and the economy. Are we entering an era of “energy independence” under Trump 2.0, or is the green agenda facing its biggest existential test yet?

Key Topics We Cover:

📉 Why “Drill, Baby, Drill” might spell doom for energy equities but a windfall for supply.

⚛️ The real path forward for nuclear energy in a tech-driven future.

🛢️ How America’s hydrocarbon bounty could reshape foreign policy—and why Europe should brace itself.

🤝 The shifting power dynamics in BRICS and why Brazil’s Lula might be playing 4D chess.

🌐 Why geopolitics is veering toward a dangerous game of brinkmanship across Taiwan, Israel, and Ukraine.

Best Quote: “Industrial might is a derivative of energy abundance. Let’s rebuild domestic industry. Energy is life; the absence of it is death.” – Doomberg

Hit PLAY now to dive into one of the most insightful energy and geopolitical discussions of the year!

Chapters:

0:00 – Intro

3:45 – Trump’s Return: What it Means for Energy

15:30 – Big Tech’s Nuclear Gamble

23:00 – BRICS, Brazil, and the U.S. Pivot to the Western Hemisphere

35:00 – Middle East Flashpoints: Israel vs. Iran

45:00 – Taiwan’s Energy Crisis and Lessons from Germany

Don’t forget to like, subscribe, and turn on notifications for more hard-hitting conversations.

#EnergyCrisis #Geopolitics #Doomberg #TrumpEnergyPolicy #BigTech #NuclearPower #GreenEnergy #OilAndGas #BRICS #AdvisorAnalyst

Share your thoughts in the comments below—what’s your take on the future of energy under Trump?

Copyright © Raise Your Average, AdvisorAnalyst

Stop Competing with Markets! Do this instead – Larry Swedroe

In this episode Pierre and Adam sit down with Larry Swedroe, well-known expert in evidence-based investment strategies and former CIO at Buckingham Wealth Partners. They get into Larry’s views on market forecasting, why investors should ignore short-term predictions, and the importance of building resilient and hyper-diversified portfolios to mitigate market risks. Swedroe emphasizes the inefficiency of individual stock selection and market timing, advocating instead for systematic, rule-based investment strategies. Additionally, he offers insights into the historical performance of various asset classes and how to think about risk in portfolio construction.

00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer

00:27 Welcoming Larry Swedroe

00:38 Larry’s Background and Expertise

01:00 The Importance of Forecasting

02:11 Larry’s Take on Market Predictions

04:12 Challenges in Economic Forecasting

07:03 Investment Strategies and Market Risks

12:07 The Value of Diversification

22:40 Key Investment Principles

33:13 The Importance of Staying the Course

44:35 Exploring Portfolio Diversification

45:39 The Importance of Education in Investing

47:28 Understanding Risk and Asset Allocation

49:11 The Role of Alternatives in a Diversified Portfolio

56:03 Behavioral Finance and Investor Psychology

59:46 Advising Clients on Investment Strategies

01:05:23 The Significance of Diversification

01:23:06 Final Thoughts and Personal Reflections

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Where to find Larry Swedroe

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Larry Swedroe on X (@larryswedroe)

Larry Swedroe on Linkedin

#InvestmentStrategies, #MarketRiskManagement, #PortfolioDiversification, #AlternativeInvestments, #LarrySwedroe, #StockMarketInsights

Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst

Fidelity's Ilan Kolet: Investing for Soft and Hard Landings into 2024. How?

Pierre welcomes back Ilan Kolet, Institutional Portfolio Manager at Fidelity Investments. This episode delves into Ilan’s expert analysis on U.S. and Canadian economies amid ongoing global economic shifts. Discover insights on the Fed’s unprecedented rate cuts, the productivity expansion in the U.S., challenges facing the Canadian economy, and Fidelity’s tactical asset allocation positioning. Ilan also shares his experience and insight from the NABE conference and thoughts on the future of fiscal and monetary policy. Explore investment strategies and gain valuable perspectives on navigating today’s markets.

Timestamped Highlights

00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer

00:20 Guest Introduction: Ilan Kolet

01:38 Market Overview: 2024 Insights

02:25 Fed’s Decision and Implications

04:14 Productivity Expansion in the U.S.

09:05 Comparing U.S. and Canadian Economies

13:31 NABE Conference Highlights

22:47 Divergence in US and Canadian Monetary Policies

23:21 Strategic Use of the Canadian Dollar

24:58 Impact of Interest Rate Differentials

25:48 Canada’s Economic Growth Drivers

29:11 Decoupling of the Canadian Dollar from Oil Prices

31:28 US Shale Revolution and Its Implications

32:31 China’s Economic Influence on Canada

33:49 Tactical Asset Allocation Strategies

37:44 Impact of US Election on Economic Policies

40:57 Fixed Income and Commodities Exposure

45:28 Ongoing Research and Portfolio Adjustments

48:32 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst.com

NBI's Martin Lefebvre: Q4 2024-2025 Market and Economic Outlook

In this episode of the Insight is Capital podcast, Pierre talks to Martin Lefebvre, Chief Investment Officer at National Bank Investments. They explore Martin’s outlook on the economy, fixed income, and equities, amid a backdrop of U.S. stock highs, falling bond yields, and changing labor market indicators. They discuss the recent Federal Reserve’s 50 bps interest rate cut and its implications, the potential for a soft economic landing, and the intricacies of the U.S. and Canadian housing markets. Additionally, Lefebvre delves into strategies for handling expected market volatility ahead of the U.S. election and the broader implications of global economic factors on investment strategies. The conversation provides valuable insights into asset allocation amid economic pressures and highlights the importance of a balanced investment approach in current markets.

Timestamped Highlights

00:00 Introduction and Disclaimer

00:20 Guest Introduction: Martin Lefebvre

01:31 Market Overview and Economic Outlook

03:30 Federal Reserve’s Rate Cut Decision

06:25 Impact on Fixed Income Strategies

09:52 Recession Risks and Asset Allocation

19:15 U.S. Election and Market Volatility

30:16 Geographical Positioning

35:46 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst

Shana Sissel – From Long/Short to Long Sports: Exploring Unique Uncorrelated Alternative Investments

In this episode of ‘Raise Your Average,’ co-hosts Pierre and Mike welcome Shana Orczyk Sissel, CEO at Banrion Capital Management. We explore Shana’s 20-year journey in wealth management, her experience and insights on alternative investments, and the evolving landscape of the industry. Shana shares her personal story of transitioning from a career in sports management to finance, discussing the challenges and triumphs along the way. Our conversation gets into key trends and opportunities in the alternative space, including private equity, venture capital, and interval funds. Shana emphasizes the importance of differentiating and engaging clients through unique and personalized investment opportunities, from sports rights to fine art and beyond. With practical advice for advisors on how to integrate alternatives into client portfolios and the added benefits of working with experts, this episode offers a comprehensive look at making alternative investments accessible and appealing.

00:00 Welcome and Introduction

00:24 Guest Introduction: Shana Orczyk Sissel

02:01 Shana’s Career Journey

04:31 The Role of Alternatives in Portfolios

11:41 Trends in Alternative Investments

21:26 Challenges and Opportunities in Alternatives

33:16 Exploring Market Neutral Strategies

33:45 Discussing BTAL: A Market Neutral ETF

35:23 The Complexity of Managed Futures

37:18 Return Stacking and Portfolio Diversification

39:00 Building Alternative Investment Portfolios

40:46 Banrion’s Alternative Models

43:50 Understanding Diversifying and Non-Diversifying Alts

46:12 The Importance of Liquidity in Alternative Investments

51:52 Engaging Clients with Passion Investments

01:01:31 The Opportunity in Alternative Investments

01:05:24 Advice for Advisors Exploring Alternatives

01:10:18 Final Thoughts and Encouragement

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Where to find Shana Sissel, Banrion Capital Management:

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Banrion Capital Management

Shana Sissel on Linkedin

Shana Sissel on X

Shana Sissel on Instagram

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Where to find us:

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ReSolve Asset Management

ReSolve Asset Management Blog

Mike Philbrick on Linkedin

Rodrigo Gordillo on Linkedin

Adam Butler on Linkedin

Pierre Daillie on Linkedin

Joseph Lamanna on Linkedin

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Todd Finkle: A Fresh Take on Warren Buffett

In this episode of Insight is Capital, Pierre welcomes Dr. Todd Finkle, esteemed Pigott Professor of Entrepreneurship at Gonzaga University and author of ‘Warren Buffett: Investor and Entrepreneur.’ Dr. Finkle draws on nearly two decades of research and personal experiences and notably, his connection to the Buffett family (he shares his memories of friendship and hanging around at school with Buffett’s son, Pete, and his friendship with both he and Susie), of taking students to meet Warren Buffett in Omaha, to explore Buffett’s investment philosophy, entrepreneurial spirit, and the lasting impact of Buffett’s childhood during the Great Depression. The discussion highlights the influence of key figures like Charlie Munger and Phil Fisher in Buffett’s life, the importance of critical thinking, and the value of surrounding oneself with supportive individuals. Dr. Finkle shares the challenges of writing his book and the invaluable lessons learned from Buffett’s mistakes while providing unique insights about the importance to Buffett and Munger of avoiding toxic people and embracing continual, lifelong learning.

Timestamped Highlights

00:00 Introduction to Dr. Todd Finkle and His Unique Insights on Warren Buffett

01:31 Dr. Finkle’s Personal Connection to Warren Buffett and family

02:49 Warren Buffett’s Philosophy and Influence

07:08 Buffett’s Humble and Positive Character

10:20 Family Ties and Early Life in Omaha

28:04 The Entrepreneurial Spirit of Young Warren Buffett

35:27 Dr. Finkle’s Journey to Writing the Book

38:05 Meeting Warren Buffett: A Professor’s Experience

41:33 Meeting Warren Buffett: A Life-Changing Experience

42:39 Exploring Omaha: The Heart of Buffett’s Investments

44:27 Buffett’s Investment Philosophy and Local Business Support

46:02 The Humble Life of Warren Buffett

56:40 Buffett’s Mistakes and Lessons Learned

01:10:09 The Entrepreneurial Spirit of Warren Buffett

01:17:31 The Future of Berkshire Hathaway

01:24:10 The Importance of Critical Thinking and Entrepreneurship

01:25:59 Final Thoughts and Best Advice

Macro Outlook and Defensive Investing Strategies with Bob Elliott

Bob Elliott, CEO, and CIO at NYC-based Unlimited Funds joined us on the show. We discuss his 13 years experience at Bridgewater Associates (10 years as head of Ray Dalio’s investment research team), and the lessons he learned from the Global Financial Crisis. We get into the more recent period of ecomomic upheaval, and today’s macroeconomic landscape. Bob shares his unique take on diversification, dissecting inflation, interest rates, as well as, for example, the impact deglobalization and reshoring may have on the U.S. economy. We explore Unlimited Funds’ innovative strategies of hedge fund-like replication that everyday investors can now access, at far lower cost than 2&20 strategies. Bob stresses the significance of balancing risk in portfolios. He also shares insights on managing portfolio volatility, behavioral economics, and disciplined trading practices, offering invaluable advice on market assumptions and investment management.

Timestamped Highlights

00:00 Introduction and Host Greetings

01:36 Guest Introduction: Bob Elliott

02:41 Bob’s Experience at Bridgewater

03:47 Lessons from the Global Financial Crisis

11:38 Current Macroeconomic Conditions

26:57 Impact of Interest Rates and Inflation

37:22 Gold as an Investment

41:16 Gold vs Bonds: A Comparative Analysis

42:14 Generational Perspectives on Gold

42:36 Understanding Economic Regimes

44:17 Strategic Portfolio Management

44:46 Challenges of Beating the Market

46:30 Accessing Top-Tier Asset Managers

47:33 The Role of Diversification

48:37 Replication and Manager Risk

51:19 Behavioral Aspects of Investing

01:03:09 Wealth Accumulation vs Wealth Management

01:04:59 Building a Robust Savings Portfolio

01:15:48 Final Thoughts and Best Advice

Justin Huhn: The Generational Bull Case for Uranium

Uranium expert Justin Huhn, Founder & Publisher of Uranium Insider, joins Pierre Daillie and Mike Philbrick on the show to discuss the unfolding generational bull case for uranium and the entire uranium and nuclear power generation sector. We explore the cyclical nature of the uranium market, current supply and demand dynamics, and the impact of geopolitical tensions. Justin provides valuable insights on the increasing interest in nuclear energy as a clean power source, driven by rising global electricity demand and technological advancements. He sheds light on the potential for significant market developments by 2029-2030, the importance of long-term contracts, and the investment opportunities emerging from the ongoing and increasingly robust supply-demand imbalance.

Timestamped Highlights

00:00 Introduction and Greetings

00:16 Hurricane Experience and Weather Patterns

01:08 Introducing Guest: Justin Huhn

02:50 Justin Huhn’s Background and Entry into Uranium Market

04:57 Understanding the Uranium Market Dynamics

07:24 Impact of Fukushima and Market Recovery

20:16 Technological Advancements in Nuclear Energy

26:29 Growing Demand for Electricity and Nuclear Energy’s Role

35:18 Uranium Processing and Conversion

35:50 Enrichment and Fabrication

36:59 Global Market Dynamics

37:58 US Nuclear Industry Challenges

38:46 Geopolitical Impacts on Uranium Supply

48:32 Investment Opportunities in Uranium

54:51 Market Volatility and Investment Strategies

01:01:05 Future Outlook and Conclusion

Mutiny's Jason Buck on Navigating Volatility: Defense? How? Why Now?

In this episode of Insight is Capital, Pierre Daillie chats with Jason Buck, Chief Investment Officer at Mutiny Fund, to discuss defensive and offensive strategies in portfolio management – with equity valuations of the “Magnificent 7” it’s now particularly essential for advisors and investors alike to consider defense ahead of any potential reversals. Buck points out that from a business perspective, advisors are leveraged to the equity market by 3-4x, when their business AUM is exposed to drawdown risks. Jason shares his journey from a real estate developer affected by the 2008 financial crisis to a consultant on risk management and bespoke long volatility strategies. He highlights the ‘cockroach investment strategy’ and the necessity of combining offensive assets like stocks and bonds with defensive assets like long volatility and commodity trend advisors. The importance of rebalancing, the concept of convexity, and the practical application of strategies like the Harry Brown portfolio model are discussed in detail. Using the memorable Herschel Walker analogy, Jason underscores the importance of a well-diversified portfolio. This episode is essential for investors and advisors looking to understand the implementation and benefits of a balanced approach to portfolio construction.

Timestamped Highlights

00:00 Introduction – Guest – Jason Buck, Mutiny Fund

00:14 Jason Buck’s Background and Investment Philosophy

00:49 The Cockroach Investment Strategy

01:20 Podcast Disclaimer and Welcome Back

01:49 Discussing the Cockroach Strategy

03:08 Importance of Diversification and Defense Strategy

04:44 Launching the Defense Strategy

06:47 The Great Financial Crisis and Its Lessons

07:40 Combining Offensive and Defensive Assets

08:53 Harry Brown’s Four Quadrant Model

09:33 Modern Portfolio Techniques and Convexity

12:33 Commodity Trend Advisors (CTAs) Explained

14:12 The Role of CTAs in Inflationary Environments

15:01 Ensemble of CTAs for Robust Returns

24:04 Challenges in Explaining Trend Following

30:43 Understanding the Buy Button Mentality

31:05 The Case for Commodity Trend Following

31:38 Challenges in Portfolio Allocation

32:42 Financial Advisors and Client Resistance

34:37 The Importance of Defensive Assets

36:37 Cash and Capital Efficiency

39:19 Long Volatility and Tail Risk Explained

41:02 Convexity and Portfolio Insurance

48:51 Rebalancing for Effective Compounding

55:45 The Herschel Walker Trade Analogy

58:57 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst

FactSet's Elisabeth Kashner – The Scoop: Deep ETF Trends Insights

In this conversation, Pierre Daillie interviews Elisabeth Kashner, Director of Global Funds Research, FactSet, about the trends and challenges in the ETF market. They discuss the slow pace of ETF flows in 2024, the impact of the Fed’s rate cuts, and the attractiveness of cash investments. They also explore the rise of actively managed equity ETFs and the competition among asset managers to offer low-cost products. The conversation highlights the importance of providing exceptional value and solving the profitability challenge in the ETF industry. The asset management industry is experiencing a shift towards lower fees and increased efficiency, driven by the rise of ETFs. While some ETF issuers have raised their management expense ratios (MERs), it is often due to operational concerns rather than a desire to make more money. The industry is becoming more commoditized, allowing investors to focus on making the right asset allocation decisions. The ETF industry continues to grow, with inflows increasing every year. However, with over 3,500 ETFs available, investors need to do their homework and understand the products they are investing in.

Takeaways

• ETF flows in 2024 have been slow compared to previous years, with investors gravitating towards cash investments due to their attractive yields.

• The rise of actively managed equity ETFs has led to increased competition among asset managers, with a few firms attracting the majority of flows.

• Asset managers face the challenge of offering exceptional value and solving the profitability issue in a highly competitive market.

• The barriers to entry in the ETF industry are low, but the barriers to success are high, requiring efficiency, scale, and effective capital markets management.

• The asset management industry is shifting towards lower fees and increased efficiency

• ETF issuers have raised MERs due to operational concerns, not to make more money

• Investors have a wide range of ETF options, but need to do their homework and understand the products

• The industry is becoming more commoditized, allowing investors to focus on asset allocation decisions

• Investors should seek the advice of a knowledgeable advisor to navigate the market

Copyright © AdvisorAnalyst