{"id":1084,"date":"2023-02-27T17:17:00","date_gmt":"2023-02-27T17:17:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/04113f0d-67a4-4f7b-a553-22336390bb69"},"modified":"2023-03-21T15:52:17","modified_gmt":"2023-03-21T15:52:17","slug":"mike-green-the-fed-overreacted-to-2022s-inflation-pulse-now-what","status":"publish","type":"episode","link":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/episode\/mike-green-the-fed-overreacted-to-2022s-inflation-pulse-now-what\/","title":{"rendered":"Mike Green: The Fed Overreacted to 2022&#039;s Inflation Pulse. Now what?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Simplify Asset Management&#8217;s Chief Strategist, Michael Green, a prolific researcher and writer, with a huge and popular following on Twitter, where he tweets as @ProfPlum 99 and Real Vision where he shares his thoughts and industry contacts in his Mike Green \u2013&nbsp;In Conversation series, as well as a famed observer of probabilistic market and economic outcomes, provides a deep dive into the current economic landscape and his investment strategy. The market is in a state of uncertainty due to various factors, such as inflation data, recession, and passive investing dynamics.<\/p>\n<p>Green discusses the Federal Reserve&#8217;s actions and its potential impact on the economy, and explains his thoughts on why, in his opinion, the Fed has overreacted in terms of the bluntness and depth of it&#8217;s policy response, and what that means for investors and the economy going forward.<\/p>\n<p>He believes that we are already in a recession (the Fed has gone too far too fast) \u2013 without considering that the severity of the recession is often a function of who is trying to get into the job market (e.g. highly skilled, highly paid workers vs. average workers). We examine the unemployment story and the heightened risk of a two-speed economy, as well as specific impacts of recent events such as the Ukraine conflict and the pandemic stimulus.<\/p>\n<p>The episode delves into the potential impact of technological advancements on the economy, such as the deflationary and inflationary effects of technology.<\/p>\n<p>We discuss potential negative impact on equities of profit (EPS) recession on equities, due to less investment as a result of the decrease in capital availability, arising from an increase in unemployment.<\/p>\n<p>Join us for a fascinating, thought-provoking analysis of the economic landscape and provides valuable insights for investors and policymakers alike.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Where to find Michael Green:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Michael Green at <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.simplify.us\/leadership#!michael-green-cfa\">Simplify<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Michael Green on <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/profplum99\">Twitter<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Michael Green on <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/michaelwgreen.substack.com\/\">Substack<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Copyright \u00a9 AdvisorAnalyst.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Simplify Asset Management&#8217;s Chief Strategist, Michael Green, a prolific researcher and writer, with a huge and popular following on Twitter, where he tweets as @ProfPlum 99 and Real Vision where he shares his thoughts and industry contacts in his Mike Green \u2013&nbsp;In Conversation series, as well as a famed observer of probabilistic market and economic outcomes, provides a deep dive into the current economic landscape and his investment strategy. The market is in a state of uncertainty due to various factors, such as inflation data, recession, and passive investing dynamics. <\/p>\n<p>Green discusses the Federal Reserve&#8217;s actions and its potential impact on the economy, and explains his thoughts on why, in his opinion, the Fed has overreacted in terms of the bluntness and depth of it&#8217;s policy response, and what that means for investors and the economy going forward.<\/p>\n<p>He believes that we are already in a recession (the Fed has gone too far too fast) \u2013 without considering that the severity of the recession is often a function of who is trying to get into the job market (e.g. highly skilled, highly paid workers vs. average workers). We examine the unemployment story and the heightened risk of a two-speed economy, as well as specific impacts of recent events such as the Ukraine conflict and the pandemic stimulus.<\/p>\n<p>The episode delves into the potential impact of technological advancements on the economy, such as the deflationary and inflationary effects of technology.<\/p>\n<p>We discuss potential negative impact on equities of profit (EPS) recession on equities, due to less investment as a result of the decrease in capital availability, arising from an increase in unemployment.<\/p>\n<p>Join us for a fascinating, thought-provoking analysis of the economic landscape and provides valuable insights for investors and policymakers alike.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Where to find Michael Green:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Michael Green at <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.simplify.us\/leadership#!michael-green-cfa\">Simplify<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Michael Green on <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/profplum99\">Twitter<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Michael Green on <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/michaelwgreen.substack.com\/\">Substack<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Copyright \u00a9 AdvisorAnalyst.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1085,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":[],"categories":[18],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/episode\/1084"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/episode"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/episode"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1084"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/episode\/1084\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1098,"href":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/episode\/1084\/revisions\/1098"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1085"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1084"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1084"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/advisoranalyst.com\/podcast\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1084"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}