Tech Talk for Friday September 17th 2021

by Don Vialoux,


Technical Notes released yesterday at

More reason to be optimistic of the stocks with exposure to the manufacturing economy this fall.… $STUDY $MACRO $SPX $SPY $ES_F


Consumer Staples SPDRs $XLP moved below $71.29 completing a double top pattern.


Coca Cola $KO a Dow Jones Industrial Average stock moved below $55.03 extending an intermediate downtrend


Southern Companies $SO an S&P 100 stock moved below $65.39 completing a double top pattern.


Copart $CPRT a NASDAQ 100 stock moved above $149.07 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.


Xcel Energy $XEL a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $65.03 completing a double top pattern.


Silver iShares $SLV moved below US$21.19 extending an intermediate downtrend.


Gold equity ETF $GDX moved below $30.68 and $30.64 extending an intermediate downtrend.


Weakness in silver and gold prompted intermediate breakdowns in three gold stocks that are part of the TSX 60 Index extending an intermediate downtrend. $ABX.CA moved below $Cdn$24.10. Wheaton Precious Metals $WPM moved below US$42.16. Kinross Gold $KGC moved below US$5.62


Magna International $MG.CA a TSX 60 stock moved below Cdn$97.91 extending an intermediate downtrend.


Nutrient $NTR.CA a TSX 60 stock moved above $80.82 extending an intermediate uptrend.


Fertilizer stocks are notably higher today. $NTR.CA broke above intermediate resistance earlier today. CF Industries $CF is the strongest stock in the sector. Nice move above resistance at $49.64. Mosaic $MOS also is significantly higher.



Trader’s Corner

Equity Indices and Related ETFs

Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for September 16th 2021


Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day


Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for September 16th 2021


Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day



Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for September 16th 2021


Green: Increase from previous day

Red: Decrease from previous day


All seasonality ratings are based on performance relative to the S&P 500 Index


Seasonality Chart of the Day from

Trends by seasonality charts for fertilizer stocks including Nutrien, Mosaic and CF Industries are virtually identical: They show weakness on a real and relative basis (relative to the S&P 500 Index and TSX Composite Index) during the last two week in September followed by an important seasonal low in early October. Thereafter, the sector enters its best period of seasonal strength for the year, a trend that can last to the end of February.



S&P 500 Momentum Barometers


The intermediate term Barometer slipped 2.61 to 53.11 yesterday. It remains Neutral.


The long term Barometer eased 1.40 to 74.15 yesterday. It remains Overbought.


TSX Momentum Barometers


The intermediate term Barometer dropped 5.39 to 56.86 yesterday. It changed from Overbought to Neutral on a move below 60.00.


The long term Barometer slipped 1.96 to 68.63 yesterday. It remains Overbought and trending down.

Disclaimer: Seasonality and technical ratings offered in this report and at are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed

This post was originally publised at Vialoux's Tech Talk.

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