Index Summary and U.S. Market Highlights (week ending 02/07/10)

Index Summary

  • The major market indices were lower this week. The Dow Jones Industrial Index fell 0.55 percent. The S&P 500 Stock Index dropped 0.72 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite finished 0.29 percent lower.
  • Barra Growth outperformed Barra Value as Barra Value finished 1.13 percent lower while Barra Growth fell 0.29 percent. The Russell 2000 closed the week with a loss of 1.50 percent.
  • The Hang Seng Composite finished lower by 1.73 percent, Taiwan lost 5.53 percent, and the KOSPI declined 2.20 percent.
  • The 10-year Treasury bond yield closed at 3.57 percent, down 7 basis points for the week.

Domestic Equity Market

S&P 500 Economic Sectors

The figure above shows the performance of each sector in the S&P 500 Index for the week. The best-performing sector was materials, up 0.83 percent. Other top-performing sectors include technology and energy. Underperforming sectors were utilities, healthcare and financials.

Within the materials sector the best-performing stock was Airgas Inc., up 44 percent, on news that is was subject of a takeover offer. The other top-five performers in materials were Newmont Mining Corp., Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., Cliffs Natural Resources Inc., and FMC Corp.
Strengths

  • The gold group was the best-performing group for the week, up 8 percent, led by its only member Newmont Mining Corp.
  • The electrical component & equipment group was the second-best performing group, up 6 percent, driven by its largest member, Emerson Electric Co. The company reported first quarter earnings and issued full-year earnings guidance above the consensus.
  • The home entertainment software group was the third-best performing group, up 6 percent. Electronic Arts Inc. announced late on Friday of last week that its new game Mass Effect 2 had sold 2 million copies in its first week and received an average quality score of 96 percent, making it the highest-rated game ever produced by the company.

Weaknesses

  • The trucking group was the weekā€™s worst performer, dropping 9 percent. Ryder System Inc. reported a fourth quarter profit below street expectations and issued 2010 earnings guidance below the consensus estimate. In addition, the earnings release referred to ā€œthe challenges of the prolonged multi-year freight recession which extended through the fourth quarter.ā€
  • The healthcare facilities group was the second-worst performer, down 8 percent. Tenet Healthcare Corp. had been expected to benefit from the proposed healthcare legislation but its enactment is uncertain at this time.
  • The regional banks group underperformed, down 5 percent for the week. There was investor concern that some of these banks would have to raise additional equity money in order to repay the government loans.

Opportunities

  • There may be an opportunity for gain in M&A (merger & acquisition) transactions in 2010.
  • The recent decline in the market could be an opportunity to initiate positions in selected stocks with good fundamentals which had previously been considered to be overvalued.

Threats

  • Should investorsā€™ expectations for an improving economy not come to fruition on a reasonable timeframe, it could be a threat to stock prices.
  • As governments around the world begin to wind down the monetary and fiscal stimulus programs put in place during the economic crisis, this will likely present a headwind for stocks.
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