Posts Tagged ‘Co Founder’
Jeremy Grantham: Lessons Learned From the Past Decade
Tuesday, January 26th, 2010
Jeremy Grantham has become a familiar and very popular face on this site. For those treasuring his insight, wisdom and prescient calls, the co-founder and chairman of Boston-based GMO has just published the Q4 edition of his quarterly newsletter entitled “What a decade!”.
Grantham’s letter begins with a short addendum (”Stop the Presses!”), which addresses two newsworthy items, namely “Volckerization” and the scrapping of the limit of the money corporations spend to influence political outcomes.
“What a Decade!” follows, providing Grantham’s thoughts on the past decade including the following list of lessons learned:
• The Fed wields even more financial influence than we thought.
• Low rates have a more powerful effect on driving financial assets than on driving the economy.
• The Fed is capable of being extremely out of touch with the real world - “What housing bubble?” - plus more doctrinaire - “No, the low rates had no effect on housing” - than anyone could have imagined.
• Congress is nearly dysfunctional, primarily controlled by large corporations, and hamstrung by the supermajority now routinely required in the Senate.
• Government administrations can be incompetent for long periods.
• Poor leadership can really damage a country’s hard-won reputation in a mere 10 years.
• Obama is not a miracle worker!
• The leadership of major corporations can be very lacking in insight and competence on a fairly routine basis.
• The two time-tested investment tools, value (P/E ratios and P/B ratios) and price momentum, are now much more heavily used and not so reliable as they once were, say from 1977 to 1997.
• Asset classes really are more inefficiently priced than individual stocks on average, and therefore offer greater opportunities for adding value and reducing risk.
• Developed countries, including the US, are past their prime compared with developing countries: it is indeed a new world order.
• Education and training are the keys to increasing wealth on a sustainable basis and the US is in danger of losing its once large edge here.
• We all live on an island, which can be overexploited and turned into a barren Easter Island if we are not careful. Resources are finite and biodiversity is fragile, and both must be protected. Carbon emissions are the single greatest threat.
• Being a global policeman is expensive, and somewhere between difficult and impossible.
• The Fed learns no lessons!
The Appendix to the report is a summary of Grantham’s part in a debate entitled “Financial Innovation Boosts Economic Growth”, sponsored by The Economist. The video of the debate follows below.
Click here for Grantham’s full report.
Source: Jeremy Grantham, GMO, January 2010.
Tags: Asset Classes, Co Founder, Competence, Developed Countries, Developing Countries, Financial Assets, Gmo, Housing Bubble, Investment Tools, Jeremy Grantham, Large Corporations, Long Periods, Miracle Worker, Political Outcomes, Poor Leadership, Price Momentum, Quarterly Newsletter, Ratios, Routine Basis, Supermajority
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Jeremy Grantham: “Fair value on the S&P is 860″
Tuesday, October 27th, 2009
Jeremy Grantham has become a familiar and very popular face on this site. For those treasuring his insight, wisdom and prescient calls, the co-founder and chief investment strategist of Boston-based GMO has just published the October edition of his quarterly newsletter entitled “Just desserts and markets being silly again”.
Before quoting from the report, Grantham recently put matters into perspective in a Kiplinger article, saying: “The recent rally has been very speculative, favoring risky assets over the past few months. I’m sorry if you missed investing at the market’s March lows, but don’t compound the damage to your portfolio by chasing gains in risky assets. We’re at the beginning of a seven-year period of lean returns. You should only be buying the highest-quality blue-chip companies, where valuations are most attractive.”
Here are a few excerpts from the Grantham’s newsletter.
“Corporate ex-financials profit margins remain above average and, if I am right about the coming seven lean years, we will soon enough look back nostalgically at such high profits. Price/earnings ratios, adjusted for even normal margins, are also significantly above fair value after the rally. Fair value on the S&P is now about 860 (fair value has declined steadily as the accounting smoke clears from the wreckage and there are still, perhaps, some smoldering embers). This places today’s market (October 19) at almost 25% overpriced, and on a seven-year horizon would move our normal forecast of 5.7% real down by more than 3% a year. Doesn’t it seem odd that we would be measurably overpriced once again, given that we face a seven-year future that almost everyone agrees will be tougher than normal?
“Price … does matter eventually, and what will stop this market (my blind guess is in the first few months of next year) is a combination of two factors. First, the disappointing economic and financial data that will begin to show the intractably long-term nature of some of our problems, particularly pressure on profit margins as the quick fix of short-term labor cuts fades away. Second, the slow gravitational pull of value as US stocks reach +30-35% overpricing in the face of an extended difficult environment.
“It is hard for me to see what will stop the charge to risk-taking this year. With the near universality of the feeling of being left behind in reinvesting, it is nerve-wracking for us prudent investors to contemplate the odds of the market rushing past my earlier prediction of 1,100. It can certainly happen. Conversely, I have some modest hopes for a collective sensible resistance to the current Fed plot to have us all borrow and speculate again. I would still guess (a well-informed guess, I hope) that before next year is out, the market will drop painfully from current levels. ‘Painfully’ is arbitrarily deemed by me to start at -15%. My guess, though, is that the US market will drop below fair value, which is a 22% decline (from the S&P 500 level of 1,098 on October 19).
“Unlike the really tough bears, though, I see no need for a new low. I think the history books will be happy enough with the 666 of last February.”
Click here for the full report on Grantham’s reasoning for his cautious stance.
Source: Jeremy Grantham, GMO, October 2009.
Tags: Chief Investment Strategist, Co Founder, Desserts, Excerpts, Gmo, Guess, Horizon, Jeremy Grantham, Lean Years, Lows, October 19, Panies, Price Earnings Ratios, Profit Margins, Quarterly Newsletter, Rally, Risky Assets, S Market, Valuations, Wreckage
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Bill Gross: Staying rich in the “new normal”
Thursday, June 4th, 2009
Bill Gross, co-founder and co-CIO of PIMCO, is to my mind one of the shrewdest money men around. His monthly newsletter, this month entitled “Staying Rich in the New Normal”, therefore always makes for thought-provoking reading. Click to listen to Bill Gross below:
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He concludes the newsletter as follows:
“The obvious solution to both dollar weakness and higher yields is to move quickly towards a more balanced budget once a sustained recovery is assured, but don’t count on the former or the latter. It is probable that trillion-dollar deficits are here to stay because any recovery is likely to reflect ‘new normal’ GDP growth rates of 1%-2% not 3%+ as we used to have.
“Staying rich in this future world will require strategies that reflect this altered vision of global economic growth and delevered financial markets. Bond investors should therefore confine maturities to the front end of yield curves where continuing low yields and downside price protection are more probable. Holders of dollars should diversify their own baskets before central banks and sovereign wealth funds ultimately do the same.
“All investors should expect considerably lower rates of return than what they grew accustomed to only a few years ago. Staying rich in the ‘new normal’ may … require investors to resemble … Will Rogers, who opined in the early 30s that he wasn’t as much concerned about the return on his money as the return of his money.”
Click here for the full article.
Source: Bill Gross, PIMCO - Investment Outlook, June 2009.
Tags: Article Source, Balanced Budget, Bill Gross, Bond Investors, Central Banks, Co Founder, Dollar Weakness, Downside, Financial Markets, Future World, Gdp Growth Rates, Global Economic Growth, Gross Co, Investment Outlook, Maturities, Money Men, PIMCO, Target, Will Rogers, Yield Curves
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Hugh Hendry: Citywire Interview
Saturday, April 11th, 2009
Hugh Hendry, the outspoken CIO and co-founder of Eclectica, one of the UK’s most successful hedge funds during the last 4 years, and in particular the last 2 years, appears in a full length interview, speaking on a variety of issues, including his thoughts on contrarianism, quantitative easing, deflation vs. inflation, his outlook for the market, and future of the hedge fund industry.
As usual, Hendry is both enlightening, and controversial, and his remarkable accuracy about the nature of the market and course during the last year make him worth listening to. Click play to view:
Part 1: The Eclectica co-founder explains why he is sticking to his guns despite having ‘my tail between my legs’ after the recent banking sector rally, and why the dollar could approach parity with the euro.
Part 2 : The outspoken hedge fund manager argues that the majority of his peers ‘have no future’, and explains his fear that tighter financial regulation will mean two decades of deflation in the second of a two part series.
Here is a complete transcript of the interview:
We have had an unprecedented period, unprecedented. Its never happened before. It’s never been the case that the stock market has gone up almost 30 times in just one movement. What I’m saying to you is that the Dow Jones in 1975 was around 590 points, and in 2007, we got to around 14,200 points. I round down, you know. That’s never ever happened. That is unprecedented prosperity. And the people who gained the most from that, are the fund managers, like me. Except, I’m aware of it. A lot of people are just not aware of it, to be lucky to be in the right place at the right time. But as you know, equity markets have done nothing for the past ten years, and if you look at the example of Japan, you’re stretching 25 years, and you’re seeing lows that we recorded in the 1980s. And I think that’s coming, that’s encroaching on our path.
When I go the major cities of the world, I say, hey, “Where do the fund managers live?” “Where do they work?” I want to short people like me; I’m very fearful about my profession’s career. So to lay it off, I want to short these guys. “Who has the biggest portfolio of assets?” ’cause all assets are coming down, coming down. So, you’re going to go from being the luckiest and the chosen, to being the unluckiest and the reviled. So, fund management franchises, insurance companies; I don’t care if you’re composite or if you’re life. I worry about the opacity of it. The ability to see in and the ability to test the value of their portfolio. I worry about what’s this mark-to-market. The banks have had the discipline of it, and we’ve seen what that’s done to their share price. The insurance companies haven’t. That’s my premise, the same thing applies with General Electric, GE, GE Capital. That’s a huge investment manager: $660-billion in assets and they’re coming down, but they’ve only marked 2% of the assets to market. To my mind, if you gave that business an appropriate hair cut, it would suggest that that business is insolvent, and yet its deemed to be one of the most credit worthy companies in the world today. Nothing makes sense today.
Will the Dollar Maintain its Strength?
Whatever I say now, no one will understand, so with that caveat, I don’t say that as a conceited man, I’m not talking down to anyone, its just a difficult theory, nevertheless its a theory postulated by one of the great economists of the twentieth century, Irving Fisher, and its [the kind] along the lines of paradox of thrift. And what’s happening is that, or what’s happened again in America is that like everyone else we took on too much debt, and at its peak we had $53-trillion, think about that, that’s a lot of zeroes, $53-trillion of debt outstanding. People went crazy, they had these liabilities and they hoped that on [the other] this side, they had $53-trillion of assets, and indeed, three years ago, they probably had $80-trillion of assets, and they were looking kind of funky.
The problem is the assets, house prices have fallen 25% in the US, that’s a big haircut, equity prices, they’ve fallen 50-60%, that’s a huge haircut. Commodity prices, they’re down 30%-40%-45%, that’s a huge haircut. Suddenly, you’re finding that as you come to create dollars [convert assets in to cash], because you own things and you sell things, you’re getting less dollars. So what I want to tell you is that there is a scarcity of cash, there is a scarcity of dollars, and that sounds absurd, because here we are today, and they’re announcing they’re bank bailout scheme, and they’re talking about $50-100-billion of government money and leveraging it, they can’t break the link with the past, they want to leverage it up to half a trillion dollars. That’s why I want to say to you…if you think about all of the government’s announcements in the US…its small change out of $53-trillion of debt. That’s why I say to you, the economy will weaken, because they’re not being heroic enough, actually they believe the consensus that if you print enough money you create inflation.
Every one believes in Friedman, everyone is being slow to deal with the fact that there’s this legacy of $53-trillion and its like a heavy object, just pressing the life out of the entrepreneurial spirit, and therefore keeping the economy down. Look, that’s my presumption, and under that presumption, the dollar should be strong, and the dollar has been strong. Its been a frustration to the many people, the strength of the dollar. Now in the last two weeks with the quantitative easing announcement, the dollar has weakened, but I think in the process of the next month or two, you will see the dollar bottom and then go on, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we got close to parity vis-a-vis the Euro within the months and years to come.
The Paradox of Contrarianism
Expert after expert lines up to tell you that the future’s inflationary and you should be selling conventional government bonds. Government bonds have been in an uptrend, so that is an intellectual conceit which is not supported by the price trend, and therefore I am invested in government bonds, I’m trend following, but I’m contrarian. The dollar over the course of the last 3 years has risen. Every investment counsellor will advise you to sell dollars. I will advise you to buy. I pursuing the trend, yet I’m being contrarian. You see how it works out? So first principals are 1) identifying the idea, the opportunity, and then 2) testing it against the market. I got a computer screen on the wall and I say to my kids, Mirror, Mirror on the wall, who’s the prettiest of them all? When I’m stuck, I ask the market. And if the market’s trending higher, then it says I should be trying to buy them, and if its trending down, I should be trying to avoid it.
What people forget is that a successful contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time. Less than 20% of the time do you ever dare to go against the trend. So most of the time we are pursuing trend. And yet, being contrarian.
A Bear Market Rally - A Test of Faith?
Last March, my hedge fund, we lost 16% percent. That’s a hefty decline. The preceding two months, we made 25% and then we lost 16%, then we lost money in April and May, and June. I have to say, I was quite suicidal, but remember, for the year we made 32%.
So, I tell you, we could sum it up, the stock market was captured by the biblical story. It was St. Peter or St. Paul, but he was the most fervent believer. He’s seen the almightiest Jesus Christ, he’s there in the garden, and he says’s “You’re the man!” And Jesus says, “What are you talking about?” Before the cock crows three times you’ll have rejected me not once, but three times. And he says “Impossible!”
That’s what stock markets are all about. Here I am with my deflationary notions of what might happen. Here I am believing that there’s no intrinsic value in banking stocks, and the cock’s crowing and its kind of “Have I changed my mind?” I haven’t. Have I changed my mind? Markets are set up to take you away from the purity and the sanctity of sensible thinking. And because of that I spend my time talking to you. I spend my time; I’m just back from China, I hug trees, I do anything but sit in my office and watch the portfolio go like that [he makes a fluttering motion].
People claim that I get very cocky. I read some of the correspondence that goes on when they’ve seen me on television and they were saying after my last appearance, I really was a bit cocky, so you know what? Yeah, I get my head handed to me by these people. I sober up, you’re quite right, It’s a lesson that has to be relearnt over and over again, that no one person is bigger than the market, that no one person has a divine right to be right. There, I hear you, I hear you [motioning hand to ear to God].
The hedge fund industry in its construction, as we know it from like, a year ago or 18 months ago is finished. Its finished, I think, yeah. And it was a disfiguration of the spirit of hedge funds. Hedge funds in the 1970s, there weren’t many, they were kind of kooky, kind of maverick, eclectic people. The kind of thing that I’ve tried to emulate, probably with less success. And because of all those characteristics, you can never give them much mind. That’s why they’re alternative. You kind of respected them, but it was just too much, they were just too mad. And then you spent of the rest of your life wishing you’d given them more money. I think we go back to that environment. There are too many hedge fund managers, and not enough kooky brave independent thinking spirits out there like them. I think the mechanism that will take us there, is all these non-kooky individuals losing money. The average hedge fund lost money last year.
The average hedge fund has imposed gates and locked their clients in. They’re finished. They’re finished. There are hedge funds out there and they have gated, what I mean is they’re denying their clients withdrawing their money. They’re writing to their clients, the good news, is that we’ve made money in January, and February, we’re making money in March. Absolute tripe! Okay, you have not made a penny, when you’re denying the clients their money. So these are people who have no future, who are walking around pretending that they have a future. That time will catch up with them. Lastly, the point I want to make to you is that the common thread of these funds like Madoff, which have failed, and the example of one unveiled last week in London, this Global Macro fund, the commonality is the very low volatility. These are funds that made money in a reasonable consistent manner; it was almost linear, linear, linear, year after year after year. I never believe in linear progression.
I believe in volatility and the craziness of life as we search for the uncertain future. My returns are volatile. Our only thing is from a calendar year of risk, we never lose much money. One year, we lost 3% and it still gobbles me that we lost 3%., not 33%. On a month-by-month basis it can be crazy. So what we found, we found a conceit in that as a society, we have abolished the business cycle so rather than going up and down with the economy. Gordon Brown told us he had abolished boom bust so that we have a linear progression. Bernie Madoff was a linear progression. We could make money without doubts, hence we elevated the hedge fund community into the premier division. That was all a mistake. And, cyclicality is re-imposing itself, and I’m just warning you that cyclicality, once unleashed, isn’t necessarily 2-3 years, it’s 20-30 years in its formation.
Can the Regulators Save Us?
This is a big fear, I think its a legitimate fear. The fear is that there’s now an open outcry, by society at large as to the remuneration, and the risk taking that was necessary over the last few years by the financial sector. And, because society has been called in to rescue the financial sector is demanding its pound of flesh. And I don’t take issue with that, I accept that as the natural course of events. But, there is also this law of unintended consequences, so we look at say the British property market, and it now seems crazy. One could get up to 5 times your salary to purchase your house. And now we might impose a low amount of leverage of 2-3 times. The problem with that is that even with the decline in housing prices, no one could afford a house price if you bring down the… so that the credit leverage was only a function of asset prices being very high, and therefore you had to overarch in order to gain a competitive return as a speculator or just get on the housing matter as a regular person. The commonality between those two transaction is asset prices. They were too high.
So the regulator’s coming in and trying to bring down leverage in the market, and they are after hedge funds. I don’t know why… I do know why - They are rich and successful. Fair game - bring down their leverage and bring down the leverage of home buyers, prospective house buyers. The problem with that is it bakes in the notion that house prices and assets will spend the next 20 years deflating, under this more sober and conservative environment.
The Hedge Fund as Investment Laboratory
The last two weeks, nothing has been fun, because all the portfolios, they all go the same way. There’s no product diversification, so one fund’s doing well another one’s not doing well. I don’t understand that word, supermarket, and the difficult thing right now is we have no confirmation for our ideas, we’re taking a pasting. Three weeks ago, we were 11 or 12 points ahead of the index and today, that’s probably now 3 or 4. At the same time, we were up 10-11 points in absolute terms in the hedge fund and that’s come down to 4. So everywhere I look now, my tail’s between my legs. But my message is the same. All my money’s in my hedge fund. The hedge fund, I believe, is as superior product, and if you’ve got that minimal market, those pounds, euros, and dollars, I, we’ve placed within the hedge fund; we use the hedge fund as a laboratory, a test pad. We incubate ideas and once they take root and they gain legitimacy, and once we start to make money on the blasted things, we can then take little transplants and put in to our long [term] holdings. Its a better way, I hope its harmonious and they can live together, one benefits from the other.
What is Eclectica’s Investment Process?
We are very much free thinkers at the macro level. We, through our collective efforts in travel, in terms of information sources, in the way we look at things - you know we’re trading currencies, we’re trading commodity futures, we’re trading government bonds, we’ve got fingers in the all of the pies, so when we come to look at an equity portfolio, we drill down all that wealth of experience, to try and determine the most likely path of the economy and the stocks that benefit from it. Our portfolios have undergone a dramatic change. Up until July of last year, we had up to three quarters of the portfolios invested in commodities, and the majority of that was agricultural commodities. But then, something happened. This deflation shock struck, and it hit, our crisis, and after three or four more months it hit the two year trend, and our portfolio changed. And today our portfolio is defensive. Tobacco, health care, utilities, staples. In the last three weeks that’s come under enormous downside pressure. But as I say to you its three weeks and we need monthly observations. Now if that downside pressure were to continue, our portfolio would change again.
My ideological preference is that that won’t happen, but I have to remain intellectually robust to change my portfolio if it does need to. As I say to you, it’s not a process of three weeks or four weeks, we’re not high intensity traders. New world, new price. New trend, new portfolio. That’s our mantra, but today, we’re still from the view that the economy is under duress and therefore we’re still sticking to the low end of these trends, close to trends in the defensive stocks. Time will tell if we have to change them.
Fund Management Without Conviction
Conviction has got no role in my operation. There are concerns about Eclectica, or about, me… The concern is that you see me everywhere, you see me on CNBC, I do Bloomberg in the US, I’m on the BBC - heavens, I made a documentary for Channel Four last year, and its all high falutin stuff and it all gives the impression that there’s all of this conceit and arrogance - Hey, you’re taking on, I am Hugh Hendry taking on the market, but its actually driven by the reverse. I actually very fearful of having ideas that I can articulate and gain your conviction. I’m very fearful of that, and so those first principals that we built up, what we call portfolio management principles. - we developed a series of rules which are there to constrain what I can do. So I can only get involved in the portfolios as I said to you when we have the legitimacy of a positive trend. Without a postive trend, you can take my conviction and you can throw it away. You can discard it. Conviction has to married with discipline, and we’ve always done that, but of course, when you see the odd soundbyte, and I’m going on and pontificating about something, you forget that if the trend changes, we change the portfolio.
Tags: Array, Banking Sector, Cio, Cities Of The World, Citywire, Co Founder, Decades, Deflation, Dow Jones, Eclectica, Fear, Full Length, Fund Managers, Guns, Hedge Fund, Hedge Fund Manager, Hedge Funds, Hugh Hendry, inflation, Legs, Length Interview, Lows, Major Cities Of The World, Parity, Peers, Quantitative Easing, Rally, Remarkable Accuracy, Right Place At The Right Time, Stock Market, Unprecedented Period, Unprecedented Prosperity
Posted in Bonds, Commodities, Credit Markets, Markets | 3 Comments »
Jim Rogers: Buying Farmland in Brazil and Canada (and farming!)
Wednesday, March 4th, 2009
Jim Rogers, the legendary co-founder of Quantum Fund, is buying greenfields for farming in Brazil and farmland in Canada to get into the farming business, on the basis that farming is going to be one of the great businesses over the next 20 years, and also on the conviction that global shortages of food are coming, coupled with farmers’ inability to get supplies and credit for expansion, will make for very profitable conditions in the long term for investors in Agricultural stocks and commodities.
Here he is in an interview with Martin Soong, on CNBC Asia’s Last Word. To watch this here, click play:
Commodities are still the best play for the long term, legendary investor Jim Rogers told CNBC, confessing that he has been buying farmland himself.
“We’re still going to eat, probably; we’re still going to wear clothes, probably. Farmers cannot get loans for fertilizers right now. So the supplies of everything are going to continue to be under pressure,” Rogers said.
He is the director of two funds which are buying greenfield land in Brazil and existing farms in Canada and starting to farm it. The funds are clearing the land, fertilizing it, irrigating it and hiring farmers and, Rogers said, some day will probably sell the land but that is a remote prospect.
“If I’m right, agriculture is going to be one of the greatest industries in the next 20 years, 30 years.”
Food inventories are at their lowest in 50 years, Rogers said, while the oil and mining sectors are also good bets.
“Even if demand goes flat or down, as it did in the 30s, as it did in the 70s, you can still have a nice market,” he told CNBC.
Despite the recent rally, gold is still a good opportunity if investors choose the right time and way to get in, according to Rogers.
“I own some gold, of course I own some gold. If gold goes down, I’ll buy more,” he said. “The IMF is trying to sell their gold and if they do then they’ll drive the price of gold down a lot. If they do … that’ll be the last opportunity to buy gold in a long, long time.”
“You can buy coins, you can buy the real stuff, you can buy ETFs and ETNs on the exchanges, you can buy mining companies if you know what you’re doing…,” he added.
Earlier this year, Rogers said he liked the Swiss franc and the yen but gave up the Swiss currency. “I stopped buying the Swiss franc when the Swiss (central) bank bailed out UBS. I still hold the yen.”
Asked whether the current collapse in commodities prices worries him, he said: “You’re supposed to buy when they’re collapsing. I expect to own commodities for years, for a long time.”
Source: CNBC
Tags: Bets, Brazil, Canada, Cnbc, Cnbc Asia, Co Founder, Conviction, ETF, Farmers, Farming Business, Farmland, Fertilizers, Greenfield Land, Imf, Inventories, Investors, Jim Rogers, Last Word, Martin Soong, Price Of Gold, Quantum Fund, Right Time, Rogers Canada, Sectors, Stocks And Commodities
Posted in Canadian Stocks, Commodities, Credit Markets, Gold, Markets, Oil and Gas | 3 Comments »
Hugh Hendry: Bank Chiefs, Regulators Have Damned Our Future
Thursday, February 12th, 2009
In the wake of the heads of banks apologising in front of a Commons Select Committee, hedge fund manager Hugh Hendry joins committee member Mark Todd on Jeff Randall Live.
In this interview, Mr Hendry, co-founder and CIO, Eclectica Asset Management, says unabashedly of bank chiefs, regulators and politicians alike, “I damn them all because they’ve damned our future.”
Tags: Bank Chiefs, Banks, Cio, Co Founder, Committee Member, Commons Select Committee, Eclectica Asset Management, Hedge Fund Manager, Hugh Hendry, Jeff Randall, Member Mark, Politicians, Regulators
Posted in Markets | No Comments »





