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by Scott Ronalds,
Warren Buffett’s perspectives on investing are worth their weight in gold (or better yet, stocks). Invest in things you understand. Wait for the right pitch. Don’t follow the herd. Buy things you’d be comfortable holding forever.
In a recent article in Fortune magazine, Buffett lays out his views on what he considers the three major categories of investment possibilities: fixed income (currency-based investments), assets that will never produce anything (gold), and productive assets (businesses, farms, real estate).
Not surprisingly, Warren thinks that the third category is the place to be: “I believe that over any extended period of time this category of investing [ownership of businesses] will prove to be the runaway winner among the three we've examined. More important, it will be by far the safest.”
He notes, “The riskiness of an investment is not measured by beta (a Wall Street term encompassing volatility and often used in measuring risk) but rather by the probability – the reasoned probability – of that investment causing its owner a loss of purchasing power over his contemplated holding period. Assets can fluctuate greatly in price and not be risky as long as they are reasonably certain to deliver increased purchasing power over their holding period.”
Consider Buffett’s views on gold. “Today the world's gold stock is about 170,000 metric tons. If all of this gold were melded together, it would form a cube of about 68 feet per side. (Picture it fitting comfortably within a baseball infield.) At $1,750 per ounce – gold’s price as I write this – its value would be about $9.6 trillion. Call this cube pile A. Let's now create a pile B costing an equal amount. For that, we could buy all U.S. cropland (400 million acres with output of about $200 billion annually), plus 16 Exxon Mobils (the world's most profitable company, one earning more than $40 billion annually). After these purchases, we would have about $1 trillion left over for walking-around money (no sense feeling strapped after this buying binge). Can you imagine an investor with $9.6 trillion selecting pile A over pile B?”
There are lots of other unique perspectives in the article, which is an adaptation of his upcoming shareholder letter. Buffett fans may also be interested in watching a 12 minute segment that aired on CBS’s ‘Person to Person’ last night, in which he takes Charlie Rose and Lara Logan through his private office in Omaha.
About Tom Bradley Tom is the President and co-founder of Steadyhand. His education includes a Bachelor of Commerce degree from the University of Manitoba (1979) and an MBA from the Richard Ivey School of Business (1983). Tom has 26 years of experience in the investment industry. He started his career in 1983 as an Equity Analyst at Richardson Greenshields. Tom spent eight years with the firm, the last three as Director of Institutional Sales. In 1991, he joined Phillips, Hager & North as a Research Analyst and Institutional Portfolio Manager. Tom was appointed to the Board of Directors of PH&N in 1996. He took on the role of Chief Operating Officer in 1998, and was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer in 1999, a role that he held until he resigned from the firm in 2005. Tom writes a column every second Saturday in the Globe and Mail. Aside from stocks and (to a lesser extent) bonds, his passions include skiing, golf, music and The Family Guy. Read more from the author/contributor here.
Tags: Baseball Infield, Cropland, Exxon, Exxon Mobils, Fixed Income, Fortune Magazine, Gold Stock, Herd, Holding Period, Investment Possibilities, Metric Tons, Million Acres, Ounce, productive assets, Profitable Company, Purchasing Power, Recent Article, Runaway Winner, Trillion, Volatility, Warren Buffett
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